Dell’s AI Server Boom Powers Record Earnings and a Net Zero Push

Saptakee S
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Dell’s AI Server Boom Powers Record Earnings and a Net Zero Push

Dell Technologies is riding two big waves: rising demand for AI servers and a strong push for sustainability. Recently, the company announced record second-quarter earnings and raised its revenue forecast for fiscal 2026. AI systems are now key to its growth and climate goals.

Dell’s AI Servers Drive a Big Revenue Jump

In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Dell saw rapid growth in its AI sector. Revenue reached a record $29.8 billion, up 19% from last year. Operating income rose to $1.8 billion, a 27% increase. Earnings per share jumped 38% to $1.70, with adjusted EPS hitting a record $2.32.

The standout? AI servers. Built on NVIDIA chips, these systems drove a 44% revenue increase in Dell’s Infrastructure Solutions Group. Sales of servers and networking soared 69% to $12.9 billion. The company shipped $8.2 billion in AI systems, secured $5.6 billion in new orders, and ended the quarter with an $11.7 billion backlog.

This momentum led Dell to raise its AI server sales outlook to $20 billion for fiscal 2026, a 33% increase. The total expected annual revenue is now between $105 billion and $ 109 billion, a 12% increase from last year.

PCs Lag as Enterprise Demand Surges

While AI boosted Dell’s growth, the PC segment lagged. Sales grew only 1%, mainly due to corporate upgrades as support for Windows 10 ends in October. This weak outlook impacted Dell’s near-term forecast, with Q3 EPS projected at $2.45, which fell short of Wall Street’s expectations. Shares dropped nearly 5% after hours.

Even so, a clear trend is emerging. PCs may grow slowly, but enterprise spending on AI and cloud infrastructure is reshaping Dell’s growth story.

dell
Source: Dell

The Sustainability Thread in Dell’s Growth

Dell is aligning its growth with climate goals. The company uses circular economy principles in its supply chain and customer relationships. It aims to reduce waste, enhance resource efficiency, and cut emissions throughout its product lifecycle.

Dell has pledged to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 across its value chain. Its 2030 goals focus on energy efficiency, renewable power, and responsible sourcing. This shows Dell’s belief that technology can help drive a low-carbon economy.

Tackling Energy and Emissions

Its sustainability report says that Dell targets Scope 1 emissions, including fuel use from corporate jets and vehicles. The company plans to switch to sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and work with providers to expand access.

For its fleet, Dell is optimizing vehicle types and numbers while adding more electric options. Electrifying its fleet may raise electricity demand (and Scope 2 emissions), but Dell is balancing this by speeding up its renewable energy transition.

Like many tech firms, Dell’s Scope 2 emissions—from purchased electricity—make up most of its footprint. To address this, Dell invests in renewable power through virtual power purchase agreements (vPPAs), joint PPAs, and renewable energy credits. It is also exploring new on-site solar projects to lessen grid reliance.

It is making significant efficiency improvements in its labs and data centers, where much electricity is consumed. These sites power the servers driving AI growth, making energy efficiency vital for operations and climate goals.

dell emissions
Source: Dell

Dell is also tackling Scope 3 emissions throughout its value chain, focusing on two areas: purchased goods and customer product use. Separate targets address both areas.

As it moves toward its 2030 goals, other Scope 3 categories will account for a larger share of emissions. While Categories 1 and 11 are priorities, Dell monitors all Scope 3 sources for meaningful reductions.

Dell scope 3 emissions
Source: Dell

The Role of Carbon Credits in Dell’s Net Zero Goals

Dell knows some emissions will remain, even with aggressive decarbonization. The company plans to offset no more than 10% of its baseline emissions with carbon removals, following best practices from the Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market (ICVCM).

Currently, Dell is not engaging in large-scale carbon removals, focusing instead on its near-term 2030 decarbonization efforts. As technologies improve, Dell plans to acquire high-quality credits and removals to meet its net-zero target.

Building a Just Transition

Dell insists that the move to net zero must be fair. The company commits to sourcing renewable power only from projects that do not harm underserved communities. It integrates social responsibility into its supplier code, ensuring human rights and fair labor practices.

As a founding member of the Responsible Business Alliance, Dell requires suppliers to commit to decarbonization and respect for vulnerable workers. This involvement ensures its climate ambitions reach throughout its value chain.

Climate Resilience Through Digital Access

Dell views technology access as crucial for climate resilience. Its Solar Community Hub program offers solar-powered internet and computer access to underserved communities worldwide. By promoting digital inclusion, Dell aims to impact one billion lives by 2030, broadening the benefits of the clean energy transition.

Investors Ask: What’s Next?

With its stock outperforming the market this year, investors wonder about Dell’s next steps. According to experts, the answer likely lies in two areas:

  • Earnings trajectory – Analysts will watch if Dell can sustain its AI-driven growth amid weaker PC demand and margin pressures.

  • Sustainability execution – Stakeholders want Dell to show that its booming AI server business can grow without sacrificing climate commitments.

Dell’s guidance of $105–109 billion in annual revenue and $20 billion in AI server sales reflects confidence in growth and demand. Its detailed climate strategy indicates that Dell recognizes investors and customers want progress on emissions, not just profits.

Renewable Energy Investment Reaches Record High as China Operates World’s Biggest Solar Farm

Jennifer L
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Renewable Energy Investment Reaches Record High as China Operates World’s Biggest Solar Farm

Global investment in renewable energy hit record levels in 2024–25, driven by solar, wind, and power grid upgrades. At the same time, China broke new ground with a vast solar farm the size of Chicago. Together, these developments offer a powerful sign of how the world is reshaping its energy system—though unevenly.

Global Green Energy Investment Hits New Highs

In 2024, global investment in renewable power and fuels hit a record $622.5 billion. This happened even with high interest rates and supply disruptions. Utility-scale solar accounted for 63% of the total, followed by wind at 35%, with most of the growth coming from cost drops and policy support.

This trend continued in early 2025. In the first half of the year, companies put $386 billion into new renewable projects. This is a 10% rise from last year.

renewable energy investment BNEF

However, investment in U.S. wind and solar fell by 13% compared to the same time in 2024. The decline followed political shifts that created uncertainty for developers, especially in wind energy.

Meanwhile, solar capacity surged. In 2024, the world added 582 GW of new renewable capacity—a 20% year-on-year increase—bringing total global capacity to 4,443 GW. Most of this came from solar (452 GW) and wind (114 GW), with China alone adding 61% of new solar and nearly 70% of new wind capacity.

According to the International Energy Agency, global energy investment is set to reach $3.3 trillion in 2025, with $2.2 trillion going toward renewable technologies. That’s more than double what’s being spent on fossil fuels ($1.1 trillion).

renewable energy investment 2025 IEA

America Slows, Europe Steps Into the Spotlight

While clean energy momentum grew worldwide, the U.S. green investment trend weakened. In early 2025, U.S. renewable investment fell 36% (about $20 billion), as policymakers rolled back support for wind and solar and halted new projects. These include major offshore wind farms near New England, citing vague national security concerns. The U.S. dropped out of the top five global wind markets for the first time since 2016.

US renewable investment down BNEF

In contrast, the European Union saw wind investment surge to $40 billion, up 63% year-on-year, making it a magnet for green capital amid U.S. policy uncertainty. Other regions—such as the ‘sunbelt’ countries (India, Mexico, Brazil, South Africa)—also posted growing pipelines of clean energy projects, though many remain underfunded.

A Chicago-Sized Farm Lights Up the Grid

China has taken its commitment to renewables one step further with the launch of a massive solar power facility on the Tibetan Plateau. It covers around 610 square kilometers—roughly the size of Chicago.

This project taps into vast desert sunshine. It forms part of China’s strategy to aggressively expand renewables. In the first half of 2025, China added 212 GW of solar and 51 GW of wind capacity. At the same time, carbon emissions fell by about 1%. This shows that growth and emissions decline can happen together.

China finished a 3.5 GW solar farm in Xinjiang’s desert. It will produce 6.09 billion kWh each year, enough to power 3 million homes. This project will also help avoid nearly 6.07 million tons of CO₂ annually. This single plant costs about $2.13 billion.

These projects highlight China’s push for 1,200 GW of solar and wind capacity by 2030. This goal is part of its plan to get 80% of power from non-fossil sources by 2060.

Why It Matters: Climate, Security, Speed

The cost of renewable energy has dropped sharply. Utility solar is now 84% cheaper than in 2009. Wind energy is also down 56%. This makes both cheaper than new coal or gas in almost every market. These price drops mean clean energy is now a viable, market-driven choice—not just a subsidized one.

cost of capital for renewables, wind energy

BloombergNEF reports that in 2024, $1.93 trillion went to mature clean technologies. This includes solar, storage, EVs, and grid upgrades. In contrast, only $155 billion was invested in emerging solutions like green hydrogen and CCS.

Yet, investment must rise to about $1.3 trillion annually by 2030 to stay on track with Paris goals—current levels meet only about 37% of that need.

Investment Gap and Equity

Despite growth, developing regions lag behind. Sub-Saharan Africa, for example, hosts 20% of the global population but receives less than 2% of clean energy investment. To address climate and energy equity, public finance and international cooperation must scale investment flows to underserved regions.

Global capital flows and megaprojects like China’s new solar farm show how renewable energy is shifting from vision to reality. Yet, disparities still exist. The speed of change relies on national policies, investor confidence, and smart infrastructure investments.

What’s Next: Can Investment Keep Pace with Climate Targets?

With all these developments in renewables, what could be the next trends to watch? Here are some interesting things to look out for:

  • Can U.S. policy stabilize? The U.S. retreat from wind has shaken investor confidence. If federal support returns—via tax credits or streamlined permitting—it could help reverse the slide.
  • Will emerging markets rise fast enough? Sunbelt countries and the Global South have strong solar potential, but they need financing tools like green bonds, development loans, and risk-sharing platforms to close the funding gap.
  • How fast will China scale up? China is setting global records in solar and wind. Its ability to build out grid capacity and transmission will determine whether power can flow from remote solar farms to dense urban uses.
  • Can investment match climate targets? Global clean energy must nearly triple by 2030. That means sustained growth in private and public capital, cost reductions, and regulatory support across regions.

The first half of 2025 has underscored both the promise and the complexity of the global clean energy transition. With US$386 billion invested in renewables worldwide, momentum remains strong, even as regional differences emerge.

The U.S. slowdown highlights how changes in policy and market uncertainty can hinder growth. In contrast, countries in Europe, Asia, and the Middle East are speeding up their deployment efforts. 

With energy demand rising, ongoing investment will be critical for ensuring that renewables can deliver on their promise of powering economies while cutting emissions.

Apple (AAPL) Stock Sees Trading Spike on Product Buzz and Strong Earnings

Aiden Green
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Apple (AAPL) Stock Sees Trading Spike on Product Buzz and Strong Earnings

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is back in the spotlight. The tech giant’s stock saw a surge in trading volume as investors weighed fresh product launch speculation alongside strong quarterly earnings. The mix of hype and solid fundamentals has fueled both retail and institutional interest, placing Apple at the center of the tech conversation.

Apple’s Trading Volume Climbs as Market Reacts

On August 27, Apple stock traded about 31.3 million shares, well above recent sessions. Market watchers point to two drivers behind the surge: rumors of upcoming product launches and the company’s strong Q3 results. Together, these factors have created momentum that has investors—big and small—leaning in.

iPhone and Services Drive Q3 Earnings Beat

Apple delivered a solid fiscal Q3 ended June 28, 2025. Revenue reached $94 billion, nearly 10 percent higher than last year and $5 billion above expectations. Earnings per share came in at $1.57, topping forecasts of $1.43, while net income was $23.4 billion.

iPhone revenue rose 13.5 percent to $44.58 billion, partly boosted by pre-tariff demand. Mac sales climbed to $8.05 billion, exceeding estimates, while iPad revenue was $6.58 billion, just under forecasts. Wearables slipped to $7.4 billion, while services grew steadily to $27.42 billion. Gross margin stood at 46.5 percent, slightly above analyst expectations.

These results reinforced investor confidence that Apple remains resilient even as the broader technology sector faces economic headwinds.

Sustainability Targets Strengthen Apple’s Story

Beyond earnings, Apple continues to push sustainability at the core of its business. In 2024, 24 percent of all product materials came from recycled or renewable sources. That included nearly all rare earth elements in magnets, cobalt in batteries, and aluminum in many cases.

The company avoided 41 million metric tons of carbon emissions last year, equal to removing nine million cars from the road. Apple has set a target of cutting emissions 75 percent by 2030 compared to 2015 levels.

AAPL Stock Price Gains and Analyst Sentiment

Apple’s stock closed at $232.56 on August 28, a 0.90 percent gain for the day. Analysts explained that over the past three months, it has returned 16.3 percent, outperforming the S&P 500’s 10.1 percent. However, its one-year return of 2.4 percent lags the SPY’s 16.8 percent, reflecting investor caution.

Volatility models suggest Apple will likely trade between $226.65 and $234.33 in the near term, with a 67 percent probability. Analysts remain largely bullish, seeing Apple as a core growth-and-stability holding.

apple stock AAPL
Source: Yahoo Finance

Product Launch Rumors Spark Anticipation

Speculation is mounting around Apple’s next big reveal. Industry reports suggest the company may unveil new iPhone models featuring advanced AI chips and upgraded cameras. New Mac models and expanded subscription services are also rumored, which could deepen Apple’s ecosystem and create new revenue streams.

Historically, product launches have triggered bursts of trading activity as the market reacts to consumer adoption. For investors, each launch is both a sales opportunity and a test of Apple’s ability to maintain its leadership in consumer technology.

Investors Position for Apple’s Next Move

Both retail and institutional investors are closely tracking Apple’s next steps. Institutions are analyzing their balance sheet, global supply chains, and margin performance, while retail traders are chasing short-term momentum and looking for pullbacks as entry points.

Apple’s size, profits, dividends, and constant innovation keep it a core pick for many investors. Whether chasing short-term gains or holding for the long run, it remains a go-to stock in a volatile tech market.

With trading volume up, strong earnings, and product buzz building, Apple (AAPL) stock is still a bellwether for the sector. The next launches will show if it can hit new highs or face fresh challenges.

General Atomics Fuels UNITY-2 Fusion Project in Canada as Global Fusion Investment Hits $2.64 Billion

Saptakee S
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0
General Atomics Fuels UNITY-2 Fusion Project in Canada as Global Fusion Investment Hits $2.64 Billion

California-based General Atomics has stepped into the fusion spotlight with a $20 million, ten-year investment in Fusion Fuel Cycles, Inc. (FFC), a Canadian joint venture between Canadian Nuclear Laboratories (CNL) and Kyoto Fusioneering. The deal marks a landmark partnership to speed up development of UNITY-2, a tritium fuel cycle test facility that could help unlock the path to commercial fusion power.

Anantha Krishnan, senior vice president of the General Atomics Energy Group, noted,

“Our collaboration with FFC is a pivotal step toward realizing the full potential of fusion energy. Developing a practical fusion power plant demands that all core systems—including the fuel cycle—operate in concert. This collaboration directly targets one of the toughest challenges and brings us closer to solving the puzzle of integrating a complete, functional fusion system.”

Scheduled to go live by mid-2026, UNITY-2—based at CNL’s Ontario campus—will be the first fully integrated facility in the world to test the deuterium-tritium (D-T) fuel cycle, a key puzzle piece for building a working fusion power plant.

Why Tritium Testing Matters?

Fusion, the same reaction that powers the sun, is often called the “holy grail” of clean energy. To work at scale, a D-T fusion power plant needs four systems:

  • A plasma confinement device, like a tokamak or stellarator
  • A blanket system to capture energy and produce new fuel
  • A fuel cycle system to handle and recycle tritium
  • A conversion system to turn heat into electricity

UNITY-2 will focus on the fuel cycle system, simulating the full process of tritium recovery, purification, and resupply. This is critical because tritium is rare, radioactive, and expensive. Mastering its safe handling will determine how practical and scalable fusion power becomes.

UNITY-2 Parameters

unity 2 fusion
Source: Fusion Fuel Cycles

CNL’s Role in Canada’s Fusion Push

The Canadian government has signaled strong support. Honourable Mélanie Joly, Minister of Industry, responsible for Canada Economic Development for Quebec Regions, said,

“Advancing innovation in clean energy technology is a key priority for the Government of Canada. This investment by General Atomics in Fusion Fuel Cycles Inc, made through the Industrial and Technological Benefits Policy, will support the development of fusion energy, strengthen Canada’s competitive advantage in the green economy of the future, and create high-value jobs and economic benefits across the country.”

Canada is already moving fast on fusion. Last year, CNL hosted Fusion Day 2024 in Ottawa, where leaders unveiled the “Fusion Energy for Canada” report, a national strategy to make fusion energy part of the country’s net-zero toolkit by 2050.

cnl Canada nuclear fusion
Source: CNL

According to the report, fusion is no longer just a science experiment—it’s shifting into a stage of prototypes and demonstrations. Globally, there are now 98 fusion experiments in operation, 13 under construction, and 33 more planned. Meanwhile, the number of private companies in the space has increased to 43 firms worldwide, attracting more than $8.2 billion in funding.

The report urged Canada to seize the economic and environmental benefits by creating a fusion ecosystem supported by clear policies and government backing.

Expanding Canada’s Nuclear Programs

To make this happen, CNL announced expansions of two major programs:

  1. Small Modular Reactor (SMR) Invitation Process – now open to fusion prototypes, giving developers access to demonstration sites at Chalk River and Whiteshell Laboratories.
  2. Canadian Nuclear Research Initiative (CNRI) – broadened to support fusion R&D, offering cost-shared research opportunities to companies developing advanced reactors.

By leveraging existing nuclear infrastructure, Canada is positioning itself as a hub for both fission and fusion innovation.

General Atomics Brings Global Expertise

General Atomics (GA) is no stranger to fusion. From its base in San Diego, the company runs the DIII-D National Fusion Facility, the largest magnetic fusion research center in the United States. The lab is the only operational tokamak in the country and a cornerstone of America’s fusion roadmap.

With UNITY-2, GA will not only contribute funding but also use the facility to advance its own R&D on fusion components. The company will work with Canadian teams to develop best practices for tritium management and safety, while also laying the groundwork for a future blanket test facility—another vital step toward commercial fusion power plants.

The investment also counts toward GA’s Industrial and Technological Benefits obligations tied to Canada’s procurement of MQ-9B SkyGuardian Remotely Piloted Aircraft Systems (RPAS), underscoring how fusion and aerospace partnerships can align.

A Surge of Fusion Investment Worldwide

General Atomics’ move comes at a time when the fusion industry is attracting record levels of capital. The Fusion Industry Association’s Global Fusion Industry Report shows that companies raised $2.64 billion between July 2024 and July 2025. That’s a 178% jump from the previous year, marking the highest annual investment since 2022.

Cumulatively, private and public funding in fusion has hit $9.77 billion across 53 companies—a five-fold jump since 2021. The number of firms has more than doubled in just four years, expanding from 23 to 53.

Powering the Future – Fusion & Plasmas

GA also emphasized the Department of Energy’s Fusion Energy Sciences Advisory Committee (FESAC) had unveiled a roadmap for U.S. fusion and plasma research.

The report urges the U.S. to push forward with fusion energy development, highlighting its potential to power society while cutting emissions. It outlines a vision for affordable, practical fusion and sets the stage for building a pilot plant by the 2040s

Big Tech Joins the Race

Tech giants are fueling this momentum. In June, Google signed a 200-megawatt power purchase agreement with Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS)—the largest corporate offtake deal in fusion history. The contract covers half the output from CFS’s first ARC plant in Virginia, set for the early 2030s.

Meanwhile, Microsoft partnered with Helion Energy in 2023 for 50 megawatts of fusion power by 2028. The deal has since grown, with Helion raising a $425 million Series F round in January 2025, pushing its valuation above $5.4 billion.

Record Funding Rounds Signal Investor Confidence

Several startups have made headlines with massive funding rounds, showcasing investors confidence in fusion’s potential.

  • Pacific Fusion burst onto the scene with a $900 million Series A, one of the largest in fusion history, backed by General Catalyst and Bill Gates.
  • Marvel Fusion, based in Germany, extended its Series B to €113 million, making it Europe’s best-funded fusion company. Investors included Siemens Energy Ventures and the European Innovation Council Fund, marking the EIC’s first private fusion equity stake.

Oil and Gas Step In

Traditional energy giants are also hedging their bets on fusion. Companies like Chevron, Shell, and Equinor have invested in startups, betting that fusion could reshape the global energy system. Their involvement signals that fusion is no longer just the domain of labs and startups—it’s attracting serious interest from incumbents in oil and gas.

Despite the optimism, challenges are significant. A survey of fusion firms revealed that 83% still see funding as a top barrier. On average, companies estimate they need $700 million each to get a pilot plant online. Across the sector, that adds up to around $77 billion in required capital—eight times what’s currently committed.

Even so, 84% of companies expect to supply electricity to the grid before 2040, with over half targeting 2035. The industry has also grown its workforce, employing more than 4,600 people directly and another 9,300 in the supply chain.

A Transformative Moment for Fusion

The UNITY-2 project highlights the importance of international collaboration in building the infrastructure for commercial fusion. Canada is positioning itself as a global hub, while General Atomics strengthens its leadership role.

The wave of new funding, corporate commitments, and government backing suggests fusion is moving from dream to early commercial reality. While hurdles remain—especially around financing and scaling—confidence in the sector has never been higher.

Fusion’s promise is clear: a near-limitless source of clean, reliable energy that could play a central role in meeting global net-zero goals by 2050. With UNITY-2, Canada and General Atomics are helping bring that vision one step closer.

DECARBON 2026: Actions for Net-Zero Goals

Alex
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DECARBON 2026: Actions for Net-Zero Goals

Growing demands for sustainability have long underscored the need for the oil and gas sector to reduce its environmental impact. Now, with the emergence of innovative solutions, the industry is entering a transformative phase — reimagining the future of energy. In this time of change, DECARBON 2026 convenes market leaders from across the oil and gas market on 9–10 February in Vösendorf, Austria to exchange strategies and decarbonisation solutions that align with operational needs.

The Oil and Gas Decarbonisation Congress (DECARBON) 2026 focuses on the industry challenge of harmonising environmental commitments with business performance. Discussions emphasise real-world applications — how companies use digital tools, low-carbon hydrogen, carbon capture technologies, alternative fuels and other instruments to achieve environmental goals without delaying implementation.

One of the key highlights of DECARBON 2026 is the presentation of case-studies from major industry players who have either achieved significant progress in their decarbonisation goals or are well on the path to success. For example, Andreas Grobler, Strategic CCUS Partnership Manager at Shell, showcases real-life implementations of carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) from across Shell’s global operations. Kleopatra Avraam, Strategic Planning Senior Director at DESFA, presents the results of DESFA’s CCS project for the pipeline transportation, liquefaction and permanent storage — APOLLOCO2. Many other leaders also share their lessons learned from practical decarbonisation efforts.

“The goal is not to wait for a perfect solution, but to start with what is available now,” highlighted Olga Shemberkas, Project Director of the Congress, underscoring the need for timely, pragmatic action over ideal but distant outcomes.

The Congress blends technical insight with targeted networking. Participants include oil and gas companies, EPCs, pipeline operators, refineries and petrochemical plants as well as technology providers, equipment manufacturers, licensors and others across the supply chain.

“It’s a good mixture — enough people, decision-makers and still an intimate atmosphere where you can get great networking opportunities,” says Jens Wulff, Managing Director of Sales & Engineering at NEUMAN & ESSER Deutschland GmbH & Co KG.

“DECARBON brings all sides of the business together: vendors, suppliers, oil and gas producers. It gives an opportunity to hear different points of view on the same issue and find what suits the company best,” notes Thomas Ludwig, LFO-Pool Manager at Shell Energy and Chemicals Park Rheinland.

DECARBON 2026 offers a unique opportunity to stay ahead of decarbonisation trends, connect with industry leaders and turn sustainability goals into operational strategies. Be part of the transformation: https://sh.bgs.group/315

Tesla Rolls Out Full Self-Driving (FSD) in Australia & New Zealand: What Drivers and Investors Need to Know

Jennifer L
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Tesla Rolls Out Full Self-Driving (FSD) in Australia & New Zealand: What Drivers and Investors Need to Know

Tesla is set to launch its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology in Australia and New Zealand. This change could transform how drivers view electric and autonomous vehicles in the region. It’s another step in Tesla’s plan to grow its driver-assistance systems globally, pushing Tesla stock up.

The move has generated both excitement among drivers and renewed interest from investors. It also highlights the growing role of autonomous driving in the future of transportation.

Tesla has tested and improved FSD in many countries. However, entering new markets like Australia and New Zealand offers both chances and challenges.

What Full Self-Driving Means

Tesla’s Full Self-Driving system is an advanced driver-assistance package that goes beyond the company’s Autopilot feature. Autopilot can handle highway driving, including steering and lane-keeping.

FSD, on the other hand, is meant for tougher tasks. It navigates city streets, makes turns, recognizes traffic signals, and reacts to real-world conditions.

The system does not yet allow cars to operate entirely without human oversight. Drivers must stay attentive and ready to take control at any time. However, Tesla continues to improve the technology through software updates. These updates come from data gathered by millions of Tesla vehicles. This information helps improve the system’s decision-making.

In markets like the United States, FSD has been available in beta form, with select drivers testing and providing feedback. Bringing the system to Australia and New Zealand will help Tesla learn how it works in various driving conditions, road rules, and traffic.

Wall Street Watches Every Move

Tesla’s latest trading sessions show how closely investors are watching its progress. On August 27, Tesla’s stock closed at $351.73, marking a small but steady gain of 0.02% from the prior day. During the day, shares fluctuated between $350.05 and $355.21, signaling healthy trading activity and investor interest.

This move comes after a strong trend last week when Tesla shares rose nearly 6% in one session. That was the company’s biggest one-day gain in over two months.

Tesla stock
Source: Yahoo Finance

The stock rally happened as investors felt hopeful about Tesla. They focused on the recent Full Self-Driving updates and the company’s progress in boosting production. Analysts note that the break above a key technical resistance level at $348.98 further fueled bullish momentum.

The stock’s strength shows that investors are balancing short-term ups and downs with Tesla’s long-term goals in EVs, autonomy, and clean energy. This week’s gains are modest, but they show steady confidence. The company focuses on maintaining its leadership in a competitive global market.

Why Australia and New Zealand Are Tesla’s Next Test Track

Tesla’s expansion of FSD into Australia and New Zealand signals confidence in both demand and regulatory readiness. The two countries already have a growing appetite for electric vehicles.

In 2024, EV sales in Australia surpassed 100,000 for the first time, accounting for around 9% of all new car sales. New Zealand has also seen rapid EV adoption, with government rebates and incentives playing a major role.

Australia EV sales by OEM

tesla Ev sales australia
Chart from Medium

Tesla is among the top-selling EV brands in both markets, with its Model 3 and Model Y making up the majority of sales. Introducing FSD could boost Tesla’s edge. It offers advanced technology that rivals have yet to match.

tesla EV sales in New Zealand
Source: EVDB.NZ

At the same time, regulators in both countries will play a central role. Autonomous driving systems must pass safety checks, and governments need to create rules for how such technologies are used on public roads. For Tesla, approval from regulators will be essential before the system is fully launched to drivers.

The Promise and Peril of Self-Driving Cars

Tesla promotes FSD as a step toward safer and more efficient transportation. By reducing human error—the leading cause of road accidents—autonomous systems could lower crash rates and improve traffic flow.

Battery-electric vehicles with advanced driver-assistance systems can lower emissions. They make EVs more practical for long trips and daily driving. Here are some key facts about these cars: 

  • Impact of driver-assistance: Advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) improve efficiency, reducing energy use by up to 10% through smoother acceleration, braking, and route optimization.

  • Long-distance practicality: With ADAS and autonomous features, EVs can extend real-world range by 5–10%, making long trips more convenient.

  • Global EV adoption: EVs avoided around 80 million metric tons of CO₂ emissions in 2023 alone.

  • Future outlook: By 2030, up to 40% of all the miles driven worldwide could be done by autonomous systems, amplifying emissions reduction potential.

Texla’s FSD system also enhances user convenience. Features such as automated lane changes, smart navigation, and traffic-aware cruise control make driving less stressful. Tesla sees a future with fleets of self-driving cars that could offer ride-hailing services. This change would turn private vehicles into money-making assets.

However, concerns remain. Safety advocates argue that the technology is not yet advanced enough to replace human judgment in all scenarios. Even small errors in object recognition or decision-making can cause accidents. Governments and regulators need to weigh the benefits of innovation against the risks of using partially autonomous systems on public roads.

Racing Rivals in the Global Autonomy Game

Tesla is not alone in the push for self-driving technology. Competitors such as Waymo, Cruise, and Chinese EV makers are investing heavily in autonomous systems. Tesla uses a vision-based method with cameras and neural networks. Others combine sensors like lidar and radar.

The global autonomous vehicle market is growing quickly. Analysts say the sector might hit over $800 billion by 2035, with up to $400 billion in revenues. This growth is driven by the need for safer transport, better logistics, and improved mobility services. Tesla’s entry into more international markets with FSD positions it to capture part of that growth.

autonomous driving revenue 2035

In Australia and New Zealand, this rollout is part of a larger trend. It focuses on using digital technology in transportation systems. Both countries are testing smart infrastructure. They are also exploring how connected vehicles can boost road safety and efficiency. Tesla’s FSD could support these efforts if the technology works reliably in real life.

Where Tesla Goes From Here

Tesla’s next steps will rely on three key factors:

  • regulatory approvals,
  • driver acceptance, and
  • improvements to the FSD system.

If the rollout in Australia and New Zealand works well, it might speed up similar launches in other areas where Tesla is strong. The company will also likely expand its FSD subscription model.

Customers may choose to pay a monthly fee instead of a one-time purchase. This could make the system more accessible and generate steady revenue for Tesla as it scales up.

For drivers, the arrival of FSD represents both excitement and uncertainty. Some will embrace the convenience and new features. Others, however, might stay cautious until the technology proves it’s safe and reliable.

Tesla’s planned launch of Full Self-Driving in Australia and New Zealand shows both the company’s ambition and the growing global interest in autonomous vehicle technology. The move creates new chances for drivers and boosts Tesla’s stock and competitive edge. As EV adoption continues to grow in both countries, the introduction of FSD could mark a significant step toward the future of transport. 

Nvidia Posts Over $46B Revenue in Q2 But Stock Slides, Balancing Record Profits with Green Goals

Jennifer L
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Nvidia Posts Over $46B Revenue in Q2 But Stock Slides, Balancing Record Profits with Green Goals

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) delivered another standout quarter, reporting $46.7 billion in Q2 revenue, up 56% year-over-year, as demand for AI and data center products surged. The chipmaker is not only posting strong financial results but also speeding up its sustainability efforts.

It aims for 100% renewable electricity in its operations. It engages with its supply chain and develops advanced GPUs that reduce energy use. This dual focus on growth and green innovation highlights how Nvidia is shaping both the future of AI and the path to a net-zero tech industry.

Profit Surge Meets Climate Pledge

Nvidia shared its latest earnings (Q2 2026), which showed strong financial growth again. This growth comes from the ongoing demand for its AI and data center products.

  • Revenue: Approximately $46.7 billion, up 56% year-over-year. This result came in slightly above Wall Street expectations of around $46 billion.
  • Adjusted EPS: About $1.05, exceeding consensus estimates of roughly $1.01.
  • Net Income: Around $26.4 billion, up 59% year-over-year.
  • Data Center Revenue: $41.1 billion, up 56% but slightly below expectations of about $41.29 billion.
Nvidia q2 financial results
Source: Nvidia

Nvidia forecasts $54 billion in revenue for Q3, above analyst expectations. Shares fell about 3% in after-hours trading, even with the earnings beat. Investors are concerned about Nvidia’s cautious view on data center performance and risks related to China.

nvidia stock
Source: Yahoo Finance

These results show Nvidia’s strong hold in the AI and semiconductor markets. They also reveal how much investor feelings can change due to geopolitical and industry risks.

While Nvidia continues to lead in financial performance, the company is also working to align its growth with sustainability initiatives. As a leading chipmaker for data centers and AI, it recognizes the environmental issues tied to energy use and greenhouse gas emissions.

The company’s sustainability programs aim to reduce climate impact and promote innovation. The following is Nvidia’s emission reduction target.

  • Cut absolute Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 50% by fiscal 2030 (from FY2023).
  • Reduce Scope 3 emissions intensity per PFLOP by 75% by 2030.

Powering Up: Nvidia’s Clean Energy Progress

Nvidia has achieved 100% renewable electricity at all of its offices and data centers under direct control by the end of its fiscal year 2025. This shift cuts its Scope 2 emissions (indirect energy use) to zero based on market-based reporting.

In fiscal year 2024, Nvidia emitted 3,692,423 metric tons of CO₂ equivalent. This total includes all greenhouse gas emissions (Scopes 1, 2, and 3), highlighting the company’s environmental impact.

nvidia 2024 emissions
Source: NVIDIA

The company also achieved supplier engagement ahead of schedule. By fiscal 2025, it had worked with suppliers covering more than 80% of Scope 3 Category 1 emissions, exceeding its initial 67% goal. These efforts aim to drive science-based emission reduction practices across its supply chain.

Driving Efficiency with Smarter Technology

Beyond its clean energy commitments, Nvidia delivers sustainability through innovative and energy-efficient technology. The new Blackwell GPUs save energy by being up to 20 times more efficient for AI inference tasks than regular CPUs. 

Nvidia’s Data Processing Units (DPUs) optimize data routing. This cuts energy use by about 30%. Tests on the U.S. Department of Energy’s Perlmutter supercomputer found that Nvidia GPU systems are up to five times more energy efficient than CPU-only setups. This saves nearly 588 megawatt-hours of electricity each month. 

NVIDIA (nvda) AI blackwell
Source: NVIDIA

Technological efficiency gains are vital for cutting emissions from AI workloads, high-performance computing, and cloud infrastructure. These areas are crucial for Nvidia’s growth.

Broader ESG Strategy and Global Leadership

Nvidia combines its environmental goals with broader social and governance progress. It set new goals validated by the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi). Moreover, the chipmaker’s operations follow strong environmental management:

  • Facilities in Santa Clara and Israel operate under ISO 14001 standards.
  • Over 41% of data center energy in FY25 was under ISO 50001 energy management.

Headquarters buildings in Santa Clara and Hyderabad earned LEED Gold certification. The Santa Clara location features 845 kW of installed solar capacity.

In addition, Nvidia is a top workplace, ranking #4 on Glassdoor’s Best Places to Work and #5 on Fortune’s Best Companies for 2025. The company also supports diversity and inclusion with corporate initiatives.

Real-World Impact Through Innovation and Partnerships

Nvidia leverages its technological strength and strategic partnerships to create tangible sustainability impacts. The Omniverse platform helps industries create digital twins. These are virtual replicas of real-world operations. This technology leads to major cuts in energy use and waste. 

One manufacturer using Omniverse realized savings of 120,000 kWh and 60 metric tons of CO₂ annually. Nvidia teamed up with Schneider Electric to create new data center designs. These designs can lower cooling energy use by 20% and cut construction times by 30%. 

The company works closely with policymakers to promote AI’s benefits for the climate. They want to create climate policies and rules. These should promote sustainable growth in AI and high-performance computing.

From Growth to Green Computing

Nvidia’s rapid expansion in AI computing is closely linked with its leadership in environmental sustainability. Nvidia shows how top tech companies can cut emissions. They combine clean energy success, efficient hardware, and strong supplier partnerships. 

Aligning financial success with environmental responsibility boosts the company’s competitive edge. It also sets new sustainability standards in the high-tech sector.

Looking Ahead: Balancing AI Growth and Climate Action

Nvidia’s Q2 earnings show its strong position in the semiconductor industry. It leads especially in the AI and data center markets. However, with growth comes responsibility.

Nvidia is under pressure from regulators, customers, and investors. They want to make sure its technologies support a sustainable future.

The company’s commitment to net-zero emissions by 2050, renewable energy use, and supply chain sustainability reflects steps in the right direction. AI demand is rising fast. So, Nvidia must focus on balancing performance with environmental impact. This will stay key to their strategy.

Carbon-Finance Project Pioneer TASC Joins Carbon Markets Africa Summit as Diamond Sponsor

Jennifer L
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Carbon-Finance Project Pioneer TASC Joins Carbon Markets Africa Summit as Diamond Sponsor

Disseminated on behalf of VUKA Group.

“Projects with monumental impact at the grassroots level”

The organizers of the upcoming Carbon Markets Africa Summit have announced the diamond sponsorship of TASC, the award-winning and pioneering carbon finance project developer with a proven track record of innovative climate mitigating techniques and investing in local communities. 

Taking place in Johannesburg from 22 to 23 October, Carbon Markets Africa Summit will gather the continent’s entire carbon markets value chain, from successful early carbon market movers, climate-finance-ready projects, and regulatory bodies to global institutional development organizations and investors.

High-Impact Carbon Projects at Scale

“At its core, TASC is community-driven and we believe in delivering real-world social and environmental impact rooted in rigorous carbon science,” says Shelley Estcourt, TASC’s CEO for Africa. 

Shelley Estcourt, CEO, TASC
Image: Shelley Estcourt, CEO, TASC

She adds: “We focus on delivering high-integrity, high-impact carbon projects at scale.
Historically, we have been focused on cookstoves, but our GRASS* project is a testament to our ability to diversify quite significantly. Backed by a dedicated in-house R&D team, we are constantly innovating and exploring new methodologies, platforms, and country partnerships. We have a big focus on projects that deliver impact at scale, combined with sound carbon modelling and science.”

Grassland Restoration and Stewardship in South Africa

TASC is currently active across sub-Saharan Africa and Australia, with expansion plans into other parts of Africa and the Australasian region. Their focus is on jurisdictions with advanced Article 6 carbon market frameworks, where the enabling environment allows for long-term, scalable impact.

TASC south africa

950,000 cookstoves distributed

In 2023, TASC won the Environmental Finance Voluntary Carbon Market Award for its cookstove project. “The award and the associated finance mechanism via Standard Bank were instrumental,” says Estcourt. 

“It enabled us to repay early-stage funding and significantly expand the scope of the programme. To date, we’ve distributed clean cookstoves to over 950,000 households across rural South Africa, with benefits for both community health and carbon reductions.”

TASC cookstoves

Reversing The Effects of Climate Change

TASC’s GRASS project directly tackles the consequences of climate change by restoring degraded rangelands, boosting carbon sequestration, and building long-term resilience for rural communities. 

Escourt: “Climate change has significantly reduced the adaptive capacity of farmers, which sees them to increased drought vulnerability, erosion, bare soils, and more extreme weather impacts. GRASS helps reverse these effects by improving water-holding capacity, stabilising soil temperatures, reducing erosion, and increasing biodiversity across hundreds of thousands of hectares.” 

GRASS is also the world’s first project registered under Verra’s VM0042 methodology, enabling robust monitoring and the generation of certified carbon credits. 

Important opportunity

As the diamond sponsor of the inaugural Carbon Markets Africa Summit in Johannesburg from 22–23 October, TASC is excited to be part of what Estcourt describes as “an important opportunity to bring thought leaders, developers, policymakers, and buyers into one room. It’s a platform to hopefully accelerate Article 6 readiness, deepen understanding of what high-impact projects look like on the ground, and promote stronger collaboration across the continent.”

She continues: “For buyers, this is your chance to meet developers face-to-face, ask the hard questions, and build real trust in the market. Come and listen to the passion.” 


VUKA Group 
Carbon Markets Africa Summit is organised by VUKA Group, which has more than 20 years’ experience in serving the business community across Africa. The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) is the official host organisation. 

Event website: About — Carbon Markets Africa

Event dates and location:
Dates:
21 October: Pre-summit day
22–23 October: Summit
Location: Johannesburg, South Africa

Contact details for Carbon Markets Africa Summit: 
Project Lead: Emmanuelle Nicholls 
Cell: +27 83 447 8410  
Email: emmanuelle.nicholls@wearevuka.com  

Contact details for TASC:
Commercial Director: Dr Storm Patel
Email: storm@tasc.je

PowerBank Corp. (SUUN) Transforms Into Clean Energy Leader with Ontario Battery Storage Deal

Jennifer L
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PowerBank Corp. (SUUN) Transforms Into Clean Energy Leader with Ontario Battery Storage Deal

Disseminated on behalf of PowerBank Corporation.

PowerBank Corp. (NASDAQ: SUUN) delivered one of the sharpest moves in the clean-energy space this month. Its stock has rebounded from recent lows. The rally was fueled by a mix of company-specific news and broader clean-energy policy developments.

The increase shows strong interest in PowerBank’s battery storage project in Ontario. It also reflects optimism from updated U.S. clean-energy tax guidance. This news improved sentiment in the entire sector.

Ontario Battery Deal Powers SUUN

A key driver for PowerBank is its battery storage business with its Cramahe, Ontario project known as SFF-06, commencing installation of the battery energy storage system (BESS). The 4.99 megawatt (MW) BESS is backed by a 22-year capacity contract that ensures long-term income once operational. 

The contract is priced at $1,221 per megawatt per business day, translating into predictable and stable revenues over two decades.

The project also benefits from a $25.8 million loan from the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC), which covers financing at favorable terms for two projects, including SFF-06. PowerBank also plans to secure the 30% Canada Clean Technology Investment Tax Credit. This will boost the project’s financial profile.

With this move, PowerBank is no longer seen solely as a solar player. Instead, the company is positioning itself as a diversified clean energy infrastructure firm with long-term recurring revenues. For a micro-cap stock often valued on speculation, this shift towards diversified revenue streams is a major milestone.

Analysts Turn Bullish on PowerBank’s Future

Analysts covering PowerBank are turning more bullish after the Ontario news.

PowerBank has a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 17x. This is potentially low when you consider its growth potential. If the company executes its pipeline of projects beyond Ontario, the stock has the potential to re-rate higher. For now, the Ontario project provides a strong foundation for growth.

Clean Energy Tax Policy Tailwinds Lift the Sector

PowerBank is based in Canada, but the company gained from a boost in optimism in the clean energy sector. This came after the U.S. Treasury Department released amended clean energy tax credit rules.

The new rules made it clear that renewable projects can still get a 30% federal tax credit. This applies as long as physical construction starts. They also keep the traditional four-year “safe harbor” provision. This eased concerns that stricter guidance could have limited access to credits.

Following the announcement, major U.S. solar stocks like Sunrun and First Solar jumped nearly 9%, while the MAC Global Solar Energy Index rose 4%. PowerBank itself has a strategy to accelerate the development or sale of projects to ensure that as many projects as possible can qualify for the tax credits.

However, the overall positive vibe for clean energy companies boosted SUUN. Investor confidence in renewable themes appears strong, especially as cross-border opportunities for financing and project expansion remain attractive.

Momentum Meets Volatility in SUUN Stock

PowerBank’s sharp stock increase also reflects technical momentum. The stock is now well above its 200-day moving average, a sign that bullish sentiment could hold. However, traders are watching closely as technical indicators show overbought conditions.

Despite this, the overall momentum trend remains upward. If PowerBank keeps sharing project updates and benefits from optimism in the sector, the stock might hold higher trading ranges.

Battery Storage: The Next Big Clean-Energy Play

PowerBank’s continued development of battery storage projects mirrors a broader industry trend. As renewable energy penetration grows, storage is becoming essential for grid reliability. In Ontario, battery storage supports the province’s transition away from natural gas while balancing variable renewable inputs like wind and solar.

The global energy storage market is set for another record year in 2025. Even with policy shifts and uncertainty in the United States and China—the two biggest markets—developers are moving ahead with larger utility-scale projects. 

Since 2024, huge gigawatt-hour systems have begun construction or been commissioned. This is happening not just in the U.S. and China, but also in Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Australia, the Netherlands, Chile, Canada, and the UK.

global energy storage market 2030 BNEF

BloombergNEF predicts storage additions will increase by 35% in 2025. This will total 94 gigawatts (247 gigawatt-hours), excluding pumped hydro. After this surge, the sector is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.7% through 2035. By then, annual installations could hit 220 gigawatts (972 gigawatt-hours), underscoring the market’s long-term growth potential.

By securing a long-term contract, PowerBank demonstrates it can compete in this high-growth sector. Its ability to secure financing and government incentives also highlights the company’s ongoing shift from speculative development to structured infrastructure investment.

Investor Watchlist: What’s Next for PowerBank

For investors, the Ontario battery storage development is significant because it provides both credibility and visibility into future cash flows. This makes SUUN less of a pure momentum trade and more of a potential long-term clean energy infrastructure play. Below is the company’s project pipeline, including battery storage at 162 MWh.

Powerbank project pipeline

Going forward, investors will be watching:

  • Execution of the Ontario project, including construction timelines and cash flow ramp-up.
  • Expansion opportunities into other Canadian provinces or U.S. markets.
  • Financing partnerships, particularly whether PowerBank can continue to secure favorable loans and tax incentives.

The supportive backdrop of clean energy policy in both Canada and the U.S. provides further encouragement. If PowerBank matches its Ontario success, it could change from a speculative micro-cap to a credible small-cap clean energy growth story.

The Ontario project strengthens PowerBank’s revenue outlook and aligns the company with global clean energy trends. For investors ready to handle ups and downs, SUUN offers high risk and high reward. It’s a chance in the rapidly expanding clean energy infrastructure market.

There are several risks associated with the development of the Project. The development of any project is subject to required permits, the continued availability of third-party financing arrangements for the Company, the risks associated with the construction of a battery energy storage project and the degradation of battery storage capacity over time based on the number of discharge cycles. In addition, governments may revise, reduce or eliminate incentives and policy support schemes for battery energy storage, which could result in future projects no longer being economic. Please refer to “Forward-Looking Statements” for additional discussion of the assumptions and risk factors associated with the projects and statements made in  the SolarBank press release dated dated August 6, 2025 entitled: “PowerBank (SUUN) Begins Installation of First Battery Energy Storage System in Ontario“.

Carbon Credits Supply to Skyrocket 35x by 2050 – But at What Price?

Saptakee S
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Carbon Credits Supply to Skyrocket 35x by 2050 – But at What Price?

The global carbon market is undergoing a dramatic reset that could transform both supply and costs over the next 25 years. New projections from BloombergNEF (BNEF)  suggest that carbon credit supply may grow 20- to 35-fold by 2050, creating one of the most significant financial mechanisms for funding decarbonization. But the shape of this future market hinges on integrity, governance, and the types of projects that ultimately win buyers’ trust.

While the long-term trajectory points upward, the road is being shaped by near-term shifts. From surging issuances to a rapid geographic rebalancing, the market reset is already redefining which sectors and regions are taking the lead.

Carbon Credit Costs Head Higher

BNEF further points to steep increases in average costs as high-quality projects dominate. Prices could reach $60 per ton of CO₂e in 2030 and rise to $104 per ton in 2050 if technology-based removals, such as direct air capture (DAC), dominate the supply mix.

In scenarios where lower-quality credits flood the market, prices would remain significantly lower—just $69 per ton in 2050—but at the cost of weaker governance and reduced impact. This highlights the growing divide between volume-driven growth and integrity-driven supply.

carbon credits
Source: BNEF

Issuances Surge as Market Resets

According to Sylvera, new credit creation has picked up pace. In Q2 2025, issuances reached 77 million credits, up 39% from Q1 and 14% higher than Q2 2024. This signals renewed confidence among project developers and buyers, with particular momentum in both traditional land-use projects and industrial breakthroughs.

Nature-Based Leaders Face New Competition

Forestry and Land Use projects still dominate, making up 31% of Q2 issuances. Within this group, Afforestation, Reforestation, and Revegetation (ARR) projects stood out. These credits averaged $24 each, reflecting higher implementation costs and buyers’ willingness to pay for premium, nature-based removals. For higher-rated ARR projects (BBB+), the premium stretched closer to $27, driven by limited supply.

Yet the real story this quarter was the surge in Industrial and Commercial projects, which jumped from 7.9% of issuances in H1 2024 to 19% in H1 2025. These include refrigerant recovery, methane capture from coal mines, and advanced industrial efficiency. Meanwhile, REDD+ projects rebounded strongly, climbing to 16% of Q2 issuances, their highest share since mid-2023.

This diversification shows the market moving beyond forests alone, with industrial innovation gaining ground.

Carbon credits carbon markets
Source: Sylvera

North America Rises as Supply Hub

One of the most striking changes came from geography. North America more than doubled its share of issuances, rising from 21% in Q1 to 43% in Q2. This momentum made the American Carbon Registry (ACR) the top registry for the first time, accounting for 33% of all new credits.

It was followed by Gold Standard (25%) and Verra (21%), signaling a more competitive registry landscape. This shift reflects both investor appetite for high-integrity projects in North America and the region’s strong regulatory backdrop, which is creating demand for compliance-grade credits.

Cheap vs. Trusted: The Carbon Market’s Fork in the Road

BNEF outlined the possible futures for the global carbon credit market. Carbon credit supply could follow three different paths, shaped by governance, investor trust, and project quality.

  • High-Quality Scenario: If the market reset succeeds, supply reaches 2.6B tons in 2030 and 4.8B in 2050. The market stays smaller but centers on high-impact projects. Direct air capture (DAC) grows to 21% of supply by 2050, with prices averaging $104/ton.
  • Full Supply Scenario: If governance fails, supply surges to 5.3B tons in 2030 and 8.2B in 2050. Most credits come from avoided deforestation and reforestation, about two-thirds of the total. Prices stay low at $69/ton, but quality concerns weaken trust.
  • OTC Carbon Removal Scenario: This middle path sees bespoke deals growing 27 times since 2022. Supply hits 2B tons in 2030 and 5.3B in 2050. Bioenergy with carbon capture (BECCS) dominates, with prices at $98/ton by 2050.

The trade-off: Cheaper credits risk poor quality, while higher-cost, smaller markets could build the trust buyers want.

carbon credit supply
Source: BNEF

Buyers Pay Premium for Integrity

Even as average credit prices softened, buyers continued paying premiums for nature-based removal credits and high-rated projects. For instance, ARR credits rated BBB+ commanded roughly $27 each, compared to lower-rated alternatives.

This price differentiation shows that buyers—especially corporates seeking credible net-zero claims—are prioritizing quality over volume. Credits recognized in compliance systems or international frameworks also commanded higher prices, reflecting their stronger governance.

Carbon Pricing Expands Across Economies

Alongside the voluntary market reset, government-led carbon pricing systems are expanding. As per the World Bank Group, by mid-2025, 43 carbon taxes and 37 emissions trading systems (ETSs) were in place, covering 28% of global emissions—up from 24% just a year earlier.

Several major moves drove this growth:

  • China’s national ETS expanded beyond power to include cement, steel, and aluminum, adding 3 billion tons of coverage.
  • Colombia broadened its carbon tax to include coal combustion.

Together, these expansions lifted global coverage to nearly 15 billion tons CO₂e, representing two-thirds of global GDP under a direct carbon price.

carbon pricing
Source: World Bank Group

Power Sector Leads, Industry Joins In

The power sector continues to dominate carbon pricing. Over half of global power emissions—about 30% of global GHGs—are now priced. This matters because electrification of industry and transport can only deliver deep cuts if electricity itself is low-carbon.

Industry is catching up fast. Thanks to China’s ETS expansion, over 40% of industrial emissions are now covered, marking a major leap for one of the most carbon-intensive sectors.

Carbon Markets Channel Private Capital

Despite short-term price softening, demand remains resilient. Corporations remain the biggest buyers through voluntary and domestic compliance markets, viewing credits as essential for net-zero alignment. Global retirements rose in early 2025, driven by a spike in compliance demand.

This reflects carbon markets’ central role: channeling private capital into decarbonization projects while governments pursue broader policy goals like economic development, job creation, and fiscal stability.

The Political Economy of Pricing

The durability of carbon pricing depends not just on policy design but also on public sentiment and perceived fairness. Governments are balancing competing goals—emissions cuts, economic growth, and equity. As seen with China and Colombia, systems are being designed to ratchet up coverage and ambition over time, offering flexibility while building acceptance.

This political economy lens will be crucial as carbon pricing moves into harder-to-abate sectors like heavy industry and as middle-income economies such as Brazil, India, Indonesia, and Türkiye expand their systems.

Outlook: Carbon Market Integrity Over Volume

The global carbon market is no longer defined by raw volume. Instead, the reset since 2022 has pushed integrity to the forefront. Whether through nature-based solutions, industrial projects, or advanced removals, the projects that deliver measurable, durable impact will attract the highest demand and premiums.

What’s clear from BNEF’s forecast on carbon credits supply is that carbon markets will remain a cornerstone of climate finance, one where buyers, governments, and investors increasingly value quality over quantity.

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