UK Reveals Move for a Carbon Border Tax in 2027

Britain is gearing up to impose a carbon tax on imported goods in a move announced by the Treasury aimed at safeguarding UK firms against being outcompeted by foreign manufacturers.

The proposed tax, also called the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is set to take effect in 2027. It aims to ensure that imports like iron, steel, aluminum, ceramics, and cement face a similar carbon price to domestic goods. The move intends to maintain fairness in the market.

What is the UK CBAM?

Governments use a carbon price as a tool to curb emissions by imposing charges on carbon pollution. The goal is to encourage industries to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt highlighted the role of their British CBAM version, saying:

“This levy will make sure carbon-intensive products from overseas — like steel and ceramics — face a comparable carbon price to those produced in the UK so that our decarbonization efforts translate into reductions in global emissions.”

The UK government noted the new tax would help address “carbon leakage” which has become more pressing. This means avoiding emissions being displaced to other countries that have lower or no carbon pricing mechanisms in place. 

The CBAM will work hand-in-hand with the UK Emissions Trading Scheme. It’s the same as how the EU’s CBAM functions in parallel with the EU’s ETS. 

According to the Treasury, these plans will help level the playing field and encourage greater investment in net zero efforts. 

Under the proposed CBAM, charges will be determined based on the volume of carbon emissions produced during product manufacturing. The difference between the carbon price applied in the country of origin and that paid by comparable UK manufacturers will also influence these charges.

how UK CBAM works

What Emissions Scope is Covered? 

The importer of imported products covered by the UK CBAM will be liable for the tax based on the products’ embodied emissions. It will not include the trading of emissions certificates.

The emissions scope categories that would be under CBAM are as follows:

UK CBAM emissions scope coverage

The UK CBAM will also extend its coverage to Scope 1, Scope 2, and specific precursor product emissions found in imported products. This extension aims to align with the coverage provided by the UK ETS.

The UK ETS is designed to regulate and put a price on GHG emissions produced by domestic industries. Operating on a cap-and-trade mechanism, this system allows the market to determine the value of emission allowances. The total carbon emissions allowed and the corresponding allowances are capped under this scheme, gradually decreasing over time.

As part of the strategy to address the risk of carbon leakage within sectors covered by the UK ETS, a segment of UK ETS allowances (UKAs) is allocated to operators in exposed sectors without charge. This allocation ensures that certain operators receive allowances for free, thereby reducing their exposure to the carbon price. 

However, this measure also retains the economic motivation for these operators to invest in decarbonization initiatives. Thus, it maintains the overall emissions cap across the sectors included in the ETS.

Closing Carbon Loopholes

Following a consultation on solutions for carbon leakage, the Treasury reported that 85% of respondents identified the issue as a present or future risk to their efforts in achieving decarbonization.

There’s a growing concern that while companies in the UK work towards reducing GHGs, equivalent efforts are not mirrored abroad. This gap may result in emissions merely shifting to countries without ambitious net zero targets, providing limited global environmental benefits.

To address these concerns, implementing a suitable carbon price like CBAM is considered a significant step to mitigate carbon loopholes.

The Treasury plans to engage in further consultations in 2024 concerning the levy’s specifics. These include its design, implementation, and the comprehensive list of goods and products subject to the levy. 

Moreover, it seeks input from various sectors, including power, aviation, and industry, regarding the UK Emissions Trading Scheme.

The Chairman of the Environmental Audit Committee emphasized the necessity of addressing emissions associated with imports, constituting 43% of the UK’s consumption emissions. This is to prevent undermining the UK’s decarbonization efforts. 

Implementing an appropriate carbon price at the border will play a crucial role in closing carbon loopholes.

The UK’s introduction of the carbon tax marks a significant step toward aligning carbon pricing and ensuring fairness in global markets. By covering a wide scope of emissions, the CBAM intends to close carbon loopholes, encouraging industries to invest in net zero efforts and supporting the nation’s decarbonization journey.

Saskatchewan to End Carbon Tax on Natural Gas & Electric Heating

Canada’s carbon pricing, approaching its fifth anniversary, has sparked intense debate and political strife, especially around the Conservative’s anti-carbon tax campaign. 

Amidst the public discourse surrounding the cost of living and inflation, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made adjustments to his climate policy. He excluded heating oil from carbon pricing for three years after mounting pressure from the East Coast and Atlantic caucus.

This change triggered immediate responses from various provinces and sectors. Saskatchewan’s Premier Scott Moe announced plans to halt collecting the carbon price for the federal government.

Likewise, the Northwest Territories sought full exemption from carbon pricing for their communities. On the other hand, First Nations in Ontario raised concerns about exclusion from the carbon price rebate program due to tax filing limitations on reserves.

The Impact of a Carbon Tax

Study shows a carbon tax results in a reduction in emissions, with some cases revealing more success than others.

The current carbon pricing in Canada includes consumer fuel charges with accompanying rebates to offset expenses and encourage emission reduction. But Canada’s carbon tax is a patchwork. Not all provinces adhered to it wherein some were resistant and others already had their policies in place.

More notably, a case study revealed that British Columbia’s carbon tax has reduced emissions by between 5% and 15%. Implemented over 15 years ago, BC’s carbon tax was the first in North America. 

British Columbia’s carbon tax started at $10/tonne of CO2 emissions and increased by $5 a year until it hit $50 in 2021. The carbon pricing covered about 70% of the province’s GHG emissions.

However, small businesses bear the brunt of the costs without receiving rebates, which could lead to international repercussions and affect Canada’s export competitiveness.

The ongoing debate over carbon pricing has made it challenging to predict policy consistency, which impacts businesses’ climate plans.

Regardless of political decisions, businesses are committed to their climate goals, adapting strategies to remain competitive while prioritizing profitability. Saskatchewan responded differently to the case.

Provincial Responses and Policy Clash

The Saskatchewan government announced that its natural gas utility will stop charging the carbon levy from residential customers beginning Monday. This decision follows Trudeau’s exemption of home heating oil users from paying the levy, primarily benefiting residents in Atlantic Canada.

Saskatchewan requested a similar exemption for all other heating methods, but Ottawa declined. In response, the province declared it would cease collecting the charge at the beginning of 2024.

Dustin Duncan, responsible for SaskEnergy, highlighted that the levy is due to be paid by the end of February. Failure to remit this amount could result in federal penalties for SaskEnergy executives, as per federal law. To protect these executives, Saskatchewan passed legislation shifting the responsibility to the province.

Duncan mentioned SaskEnergy’s request for the federal government to unregister it as a natural gas distributor, preferring the province to hold this designation instead. The company awaits clarity on whether it will acknowledge this change before deciding in January about remittance.

Saskatchewan’s Strategy: Adaptation and Investment

While Saskatchewan is discontinuing the carbon levy for electricity heating users, they don’t anticipate legal issues due to their control over the levy concerning SaskPower. SaskPower will channel the funds that would have been collected as levies into an investment fund. This move is expected to cost the company over $3 million this year.

Saskatchewan intends to use the funds generated from carbon tax for emissions-free electricity projects, including the potential implementation of a small modular nuclear reactor.

Additionally, levies from other high-emission industries will be directed to a separate technology fund for projects aimed at reducing, capturing, and sequestering emissions.

Despite losing its challenge against the carbon tax’s constitutionality in 2021, Saskatchewan continues to navigate its implementation. The goal is to seek exemptions and alternatives within federal carbon pricing regulations.

At the end of last year, Canada introduced two major moves to cut GHG emissions. One is to cap oil and gas emissions at 38% by 2030 based on 2019 levels.

The other one is to curb methane emissions from cattle burps. This initiative encourages changes in cattle diets, feed efficiency improvements, and strategies that lower methane release.

Canada’s carbon pricing policy has ignited a fierce debate, triggering varied responses from provinces and sectors. While adjustments have been made to exclude certain fuels from the levy, concerns linger over the impact on small businesses and indigenous communities. The ongoing discourse will continue into 2024, affecting policy predictability, and challenging businesses to adapt while maintaining climate goals.

Indian State Inks Three Deals Worth $266M in Carbon Credits

A state in India, Gujarat and its forest department, has taken significant strides in the battle against climate change by inking 3 crucial Memorandums of Understanding (MoUs) worth Rs 2,217 crore or over US$266 million of carbon credits from planting mangroves. Deals have also been signed in the area of carbon credit through agroforestry. 

The initiative, which is the first-of-its-kind in the country, is part of the upcoming 10th Vibrant Gujarat Global Summit. It’s a pioneering effort in India’s fight against the adversities of climate change.

Exploring Ways to Sequester Carbon

India had revealed its new climate change commitments to reduce emissions intensity of its GDP by 45% by 2030 from 2005 levels.

The country’s holistic approach to climate involves several things. Alongside the mangrove plantation deals, the forest department has also entered into agreements in agroforestry. 

It showcases the state’s commitment to exploring different methods for carbon sequestration. This highlights the importance of promoting sustainable land use practices in the region. 

In 2022, the world’s 3rd-largest emitter captured the carbon market spotlight with several climate action plans proposed. The country first planned to begin carbon trading for the heavy emitting sector, including energy, steel and cement. This is all part of India’s goal to hasten transition to cleaner energy and reach its 2070 net zero emissions.

In a parallel endeavour, beyond the MoUs, the Gujarat government is actively investigating carbon sequestration in wetlands. A study found that wetlands can store 81-216 metric tons of carbon per acre, depending on their type and location. 

The Gujarat Ecological Education and Research (GEER) Foundation, an autonomous body affiliated with the forest department, is conducting a comprehensive carbon study at 4 Ramsar sites in the state: Nal Sarovar, Thol, Khijdia and Vadwana.

Ramsar sites refer to sites listed on the List of Wetlands of International Importance. India boasts a total of 75 Ramsar Sites, which altogether span an expansive 13,26,677 hectares.

Racing Towards Net Zero

Another remarkable event on the horizon is a dedicated conclave scheduled from January 10 to 12, focusing specifically on Dholera. It is a burgeoning greenfield smart city with a footprint of 920 square kilometers, 100 kms away from Ahmedabad city. 

Dholera is the biggest of the 8th industrial greenfield cities under development in the 1st phase of the 100 billion-dollar project. The gathering aims to spotlight Dholera’s potential as a hub for smart businesses illustrated below.

Smart cities are now becoming a trend for countries to green the urban areas and businesses. In 2022, Saudi Arabia revealed its The Line, a zero-carbon city in NEOM. It’s 200 meters wide, but 170 kilometers long, and 500 meters above sea level.

The Gujarat Global Summit also includes a pivotal seminar entitled “Towards Net Zero” on January 12. The event aims to bring global and national leaders to discuss India’s pledge to fight climate change. 

Principal Secretary (Forest and Environment) Sanjeev Kumar further noted that the aim of the seminar is for the participants to “share their views on net zero, decarbonization of the economy and carbon trading.”

Carbon credits, despite experiencing historic lows in terms of prices last year, are seen to play a crucial role in reducing harmful emissions. Not only India but also many other nations are strengthening their carbon credit markets to promote transparency and integrity. 

African countries also find carbon credits a crucial tool in drawing in funding from rich nations. Several countries in the region have announced their major carbon credit deals and market schemes last year. 

The strategic initiatives by the Gujarat government in carbon credits underscore its unwavering commitment to sustainable growth and development. The collective efforts align seamlessly with India’s overarching goals to mitigate climate change and propel economic progress in a sustainable direction.

How Nuclear Energy in the U.S. Got Its Groove Back, Poised to Soar in 2024

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The United States revealed major successes in nuclear energy in 2023 while aiming to reach zero net emissions by 2050. 

The country achieved significant milestones like approving its first small modular reactor design, showing that the nation is gaining confidence and momentum in the field of nuclear energy. Here are the 5 big achievements that the U.S. aims to build on for more progress this 2024. 

Enabling Advanced Reactor Licensing

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) finalized its rule to certify NuScale Power’s 50-megawatt power module. This achievement was possible due to licensing efforts supported by industry awards in collaboration with the Department of Energy (DOE).

NuScale’s advanced light-water system marks the first certified small modular reactor (SMR) by the NRC. And it’s only the 7th reactor design approved for use in the country. This milestone will serve as a blueprint for other SMRs currently being developed, enabling them to advance their technologies.

The NRC also recently granted approval for the construction of Kairos Power’s Hermes reactor in Tennessee, potentially starting in 2026. 

Kairos Power Reactor

Kairos Power new nuclear reactorHermes is among the new reactor technologies supported by the DOE’s Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP). This reactor is the first of Generation IV to receive a construction permit from the NRC. It will contribute to the development of Kairos Power’s commercial reactor employing fluoride salt-cooled high-temperature technology.

Promoting Clean Hydrogen Production

The DOE supported the installation of a low-temperature electrolysis system, which aids in cooling the power plant. The station, Nine Mile Point Nuclear Station, is operated by Constellation which initiated the clean hydrogen production in New York. 

This project is one of three supported by the DOE, demonstrating how nuclear power plants can assist in reducing costs and scaling up clean hydrogen production. Other projects aiming to start generating hydrogen this year would be at the Davis-Besse (Ohio) and Prairie Island (Minnesota) plants.

Notably, the DOE also announced $7 billion in funding to establish 7 regional clean hydrogen hubs across the U.S. These hubs can potentially reduce 25 million metric tons of CO2 emissions each year from various uses. Three of these hubs, namely the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and Heartland regions, will incorporate nuclear energy as a component of their projects to produce clean hydrogen.

Creating Fuels for Future Reactors

High-assay low-enriched uranium, or HALEU is a crucial material required for many advanced reactor designs. A 20-kg HALEU was first produced by the Centrus Energy Corporation, the first of its kind in over 70 years. It also marked a key achievement in the DOE’s HALEU Demonstration project in Piketon, Ohio.

HALEU demonstration project in Ohio DOE
Image from Department of Energy

The HALEU material will be used for fueling the initial cores of DOE’s two demonstration reactors granted under the ARDP. Additionally, it will support fuel qualification and other testing of new reactor designs. Centrus plans to increase its HALEU material production to a rate of 900 kilograms per year starting in 2024.

DOE issued its initial request for proposals to award contracts for deconverting HALEU uranium hexafluoride into chemical forms suitable for creating fuels for advanced reactor developers. This year, the agency will issue another proposal seeking contracts for acquiring, storing, and transporting enriched uranium hexafluoride, with financial backing from the Inflation Reduction Act.

Upgrading and Expanding Testing Capabilities  

The Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has implemented various improvements to its TREAT (Transient Reactor Test Facility) reactor to facilitate advancements in nuclear energy. One such upgrade involved developing a specialized capsule for conducting transient testing on fast reactor fuels. This effort was part of a collaborative project between the United States and Japan. 

In 2024, the countries will conduct tests on certain fuels at TREAT, which haven’t been conducted for over 2 decades. 

Additionally, INL initiated construction on the NRIC DOME, recognized as the world’s first microreactor test bed. This test bed is to support the creation and authorization of new reactor technologies. INL is repurposing its EBR-II containment structure, reducing the financial risks associated with developing small reactor systems. 

The National Reactor Innovation Center (NRIC) will manage the facility, with testing expected to begin as early as 2026.

Recognition in International Cooperation 

More remarkably, nuclear energy achieved notable recognition on the global platform. It secured its place in the final COP28 agreement in Dubai to expedite its utilization. 

During COP28, the United States, along with numerous allied nations, made significant commitments. These included pledges to triple worldwide nuclear capacity by 2050 and to mobilize over $4.2 billion in government-led investments. The objective is to establish a global commercial nuclear fuel market that operates independently from Russian influence.

The U.S. also organized its inaugural U.S-African Nuclear Energy Summit in Ghana. The aim is to establish a framework for sustainable growth of nuclear energy in the said region. Additionally, the DOE unveiled plans to build a clean energy training center in Ghana. 

Furthermore, DOE launched a virtual training initiative designed to assist nations in exploring nuclear energy as a means to bolster their economic development, energy security, and environmental goals.

Read the other big wins announced by the Office of Nuclear Energy here.

The year 2023 has been a landmark year for the United States in advancing its nuclear energy initiatives. With those achievements, the U.S. has poised itself to continue this momentum into 2024, capitalizing on technological advancements and strategic partnerships to lead the way in clean and efficient nuclear energy solutions.

CFTC’s New Proposal Guides Voluntary Carbon Credit Trading

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) introduced proposed guidance regarding the trading of voluntary carbon credit (VCC) derivative contracts. It sets out factors for designated contract markets (DCMs) to address specific provisions of the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) and CFTC regulations. 

The CFTC proposal seeks input on various VCC-related issues through 17 specific questions as part of the Biden Administration’s focus on climate issues. Comments for the proposal are open until Feb. 16, 2024.

What is CFTC’s Proposed Guidance All About?

Highlighting the importance of the proposal, CFTC’s Chairman Rostin Behnam noted:

“Today’s action by the CFTC is the culmination of a two-year examination of carbon markets, and many more years of in-depth work regarding the impacts of climate on financial markets.” 

He further said that the agency’s objective is to help advance integrity leading to transparency, liquidity, and price discovery. These are all CFTC’s hallmarks in regulating markets and setting standards. 

The Voluntary Carbon Market Proposed Guidance outlines three things for DCMs to consider: 

  1. List only derivative contracts resistant to manipulation, 
  2. Monitor contract terms in relation to the underlying commodity market, and 
  3. Adhere to product submission requirements under Part 40 of CFTC Regulations and CEA section 5c(c). 

The guidance aligns with ongoing initiatives to enhance VCC quality and VCM integrity. These particularly include the recent launch of the Core Carbon Principles (CCPs) by the Integrity Council for the Voluntary Carbon Market (ICVCM).

Moreover, the CFTC proposes DCMs factors in essential VCC commodity characteristics when designing VCC derivative contracts. This also involves focusing on three crucial considerations: quality standards, delivery points and facilities, and inspection provisions. 

These guidelines fit into the distinct market and regulatory framework of the CFTC and the commodity-related markets it supervises. The VCM is one of them.

VCCs are tradable instruments that enable voluntary buying and selling rights to claim removal of or reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. However, the VCMs encounter challenges in assessing VCC quality and associated carbon pricing. The CFTC’s guidance seeks to address these concerns. 

What are CFTC’s Criteria for VCC?

The CFTC’s initial set of quality criteria for VCCs includes transparency, additionality, permanence and risk of reversal, and robust quantification. These align with Core Carbon Principles (CCPs) 7, 1, 2, and 3, respectively. 

The guidance also discusses governance, tracking systems for VCCs, and avoiding double counting, which are crucial for carbon crediting programs responsible for issuing and monitoring the credits. 

However, the CFTC’s guidance doesn’t talk about broader social and environmental considerations evident in voluntary quality efforts. This is why the agency is requesting feedback on whether DCMs should consider those concerns in VCC derivative design, even if it’s not part of the proposal.

The CFTC lacks direct statutory authority to impose standards on the VCC market. Instead, it relies on its broad anti-fraud and anti-manipulation authority along with oversight of CFTC-regulated exchanges, guided by core principles. 

The agency has been taking actions to help carbon markets establish standards. Holland & Knight traces CFTC’s efforts in a timeline:

CFTC action in carbon markets
Source: Holland & Knight

In October last year, U.S. lawmakers pushed the CFTC to deal with the integrity of carbon credit markets and regulate them.

The Proposed Guidance interprets the principles concerning VCC derivatives, guiding exchanges on demonstrating compliance regarding derivatives’ susceptibility to manipulation.

  • Essentially, the guide indirectly sets standards for the voluntary carbon credit market through the exchanges it oversees.

Much of what’s outlined in it is probably already part of exchanges’ diligence processes for listing VCC derivatives. However, the Guidance emphasizes that exchanges listing VCC contracts must rigorously vet the deliverable VCCs, including thorough reviews of relevant accreditation and verification providers. 

Failure to do so might invite regulatory scrutiny if issues arise with the derivatives they list. This pressure on exchanges will likely push accreditation and verification providers to approve or verify higher-quality VCCs.

Looking ahead, although certain voluntary carbon standards may not be explicitly included in the final guidance, DCMs should stay attentive to evolving VCM consensus. 

The CFTC guidance urges vigilance in various areas, recognizing voluntary carbon credit derivatives as new and evolving products requiring factors for consideration in product design and listing to foster transparency and liquidity in carbon markets.

Update: The CFTC has announced that it will issue the final carbon credits rulebook by the end of the year or as early as September.

A Deep Dive into SEC’s Proposed Climate Disclosure Rule for Sustainability

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has introduced a transformative climate disclosure rule aimed at revolutionizing the reporting landscape for public companies. 

This proposed rule seeks to mandate detailed disclosure of emissions, climate risks, and strategies for achieving net zero emissions, marking a significant leap towards corporate transparency and sustainability. 

Key Aspects of the Proposed Rule

At the core of the SEC’s proposed rule lies a call for comprehensive reporting, compelling companies to provide detailed insights into their climate-related facets. This includes the delineation of risks associated with climate impact, emissions data, and robust plans for achieving net zero emissions.

One of the primary objectives of the SEC’s proposal is to arm investors with consistent, comparable, and meaningful climate-related information. This will enable investors to make more informed decisions, considering a company’s environmental impact and climate risk profile in their investment strategies.

Moreover, standardizing reporting obligations across companies issuing securities is another key aspect of the proposal. This seeks to establish uniformity in disclosures, potentially reducing discrepancies and enhancing the overall quality of information provided by companies.

Most notably, SEC’s proposed rule will significantly impact the practices of accounting, auditing, and assurance for public companies and their service providers. It involves adapting existing frameworks to accommodate the new reporting requirements

It may also call for developing new methods and standards for evaluating and reporting climate-related information. 

Overall, the proposed climate disclosure rule cover two major aspects:

  • Climate-Related Financial Impacts: The regulation tackles how climate-related impacts should be included in financial statements (e.g. balance sheet, income statement, cash flow).
  • Narrative Disclosures: The rule also involves narrative disclosures in form SK. It will likely include discussions on risks, business strategy impacts, and metrics like greenhouse gas inventory.

Implications and Challenges for Companies

The SEC’s disclosure rule also poses a number of implications and challenges. 

The first one is increased reporting obligations for companies. They will face additional reporting demands that may require thorough data gathering, accurate presentation, and strengthened internal controls to comply with the new regulations. 

Companies also have to go along the transition from voluntary to regulated disclosure. This represents a significant change, requiring gradual efforts until they become accustomed to the new reporting requirements. 

However, for companies that are already complying with similar disclosure rules, it would be easier for them to embrace the proposed changes. Given the overlap with other existing regulations, determining the costs of the SEC’s rule alone would be hard. 

But according to the SEC, the required reporting will cost a small publicly listed firm about $420,000 a year on average. For a larger company, it will be $530,000 a year.

SEC climate disclosure rule cost
Source: U.S. SEC

Role of Carbon Credits and RECs

The SEC’s proposed rule acknowledges the relevance of carbon offsets and renewable energy credits (RECs), underlining their importance in climate-related reporting. Companies increasingly leverage these instruments for decarbonization, establishing  market-based mechanisms to advance sustainability goals.

However, discussions have emerged regarding the adequacy of the SEC’s requirements, raising concerns about the need for more comprehensive disclosures. It’s crucial for investors and stakeholders to understand how the use of these credits impacts a company’s risk profile, business strategy, and long-term financial implications. 

In particular, the proposed rule outlines the following key areas for disclosure:

  • Climate-Related Risk: Companies’ use of voluntary carbon markets in their transition risk strategy.
  • Business Strategy Alignment: How the use of carbon credits or offsets aligns with a company’s business model, strategy, and future outlook.
  • Targets and Goal Disclosure: Requirements for companies to disclose if their sustainability targets involve the utilization of RECs and offsets.

While the proposed rule has been in existence for about 18 months, awaiting finalization, stakeholders have actively engaged in the process, submitting over 20,000 comments during a consultation period. 

However, the final timeline for its completion remains uncertain, leaving companies in a state of anticipation regarding the impending changes.

How to Prepare for SEC’s Proposed Climate Disclosure Rule: A Roadmap for Companies

Despite the uncertain timeline, companies are advised to prepare by focusing on “no regret” actions, according to Matt Handford, Principal, Climate Change and Sustainability at Ernst & Young. He further shared insights on how companies can better prepare for the new disclosure requirements. 

Key areas to focus on per Handford’s advice include the following:

Emissions Understanding and Accounting: 

Companies need to treat emissions data with the same rigor as financial data, ensuring completeness, accuracy, and reasonableness of their emissions inventory.

Data Hygiene and Quality Assurance: 

Emphasis should be on the quality of data and the reliability of sources, underpinning robust documentation and validation processes.

Reassessment of Climate-Related Claims: 

Companies are reassessing their public claims related to carbon neutrality and net zero targets, ensuring robust strategies and execution plans to meet these objectives.

Engaging Internal Stakeholders: 

Collaboration across various internal departments, including finance and legal, is pivotal to comprehensively address climate-related disclosures and strategies.

The SEC’s proposed climate disclosure rule represents a transformative era in corporate reporting, mandating transparency and accountability regarding climate-related information. As businesses gear up for these regulatory changes, thorough preparation and collaborative approach will be crucial in meeting the evolving disclosure obligations and steering towards a more sustainable future.

Banking on Green: Wall Street’s Race to Power a $1 Trillion Carbon Market

At COP28 in Dubai, banks like Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and Barclays are gearing up for a surge in carbon offset deals. They aim to finance carbon sequestration projects, trade credits, and aid firms in buying offsets. 

This move supports smaller projects in emerging markets lacking financial backing. Sonia Battikh from Citi highlights the struggle of many developers in securing funds, emphasizing the role banks like Citi can play in bridging the financing gap in carbon markets.

Rushing in The Trillion-Dollar Carbon Market

This rush reflects a market poised to hit $1 trillion, aiding companies in achieving net zero without fully cutting emissions. However, the market faces controversies, with some credits receiving criticism for not meeting environmental claims. 

The chief of South Pole, the world’s largest seller of carbon offsets, resigned amid greenwashing allegations, prompting a reevaluation. Balancing speed and understanding market norms will be crucial for Wall Street’s success in this evolving voluntary carbon market (VCM).

In 2022, climate commitment from major banks, including Citi, JPMorgan, Barclays and HSBC, have reached over $5 trillion. 

Last month, the World Bank announced plans to establish a mechanism for certifying forest carbon credits in the coming months. Their mission is to revolutionize the bank’s operations while boosting the credibility and transparency of VCMs.

Canada’s largest bank, RBC, also supported a global carbon markets company with $8 million to grow its platform.

According to Carbon Growth Partners’ CEO, with growing demand, there would be an under-supply of high-quality credits. 

Bankers warn against allowing criticism to undermine confidence in carbon offsets’ future, emphasizing the need to avoid hampering funding for these projects.

Goldman Sachs sees fragmented markets that lack efficiency and transparency. They focus on expanding trading across sustainable commodities, including carbon and renewables. JPMorgan, significantly investing in carbon trading, hired its first voluntary credits trader this year and expanded its carbon capabilities.

However, the arrival of global banks in an underregulated market raises concerns. Michael Sheren warns about the shortcomings of voluntary forest carbon projects, cautioning against relying solely on offsets for net zero emissions

Despite criticism, offsets play a crucial role in tackling residual emissions in challenging sectors.

Voluntary Carbon Standards at COP28

Reaching the 1.5C global warming target demands substantial carbon reductions and the VCM has a big role to play.  

During the first week of COP28, major voluntary carbon standard setters pledged to align best practices and enhance transparency, aiming to establish a robust integrity framework for carbon crediting programs. 

The US Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) revealed standards for high integrity carbon offsets futures trading. UN officials in Dubai expected to unveil new safeguards around VCM based on experts’ drafted rules last month.

In the final stages of COP28, observers await the finalization of rules for a United Nations-governed carbon market under Paris Climate Agreement Article 6.

Carbon prices are in historic lows – 12% dip in demand last year and a projected 5% decline in 2023. Yet, drivers of demand persist. 

Factors include companies’ reliance on offsets to meet net zero targets and potential national regulations. These set the stage for a substantial price rise by mid-century, according to BNEF’s research.

carbon credit prices by 2050 per Bloomberg estimates

In a report by the Ecosystem Marketplace, the average prices of VCM credits hit their highest point in 15 years. 

Though the volume of voluntary carbon credits fell by 51%, the average credit price surged significantly by 82%, from $4.04 per ton in 2021 to $7.37 in 2022, which hasn’t been seen since 2008.

Banking Green and Financing Net Zero

Citi’s carbon markets team includes four London-based traders and four salespeople focusing on the voluntary carbon market. The banking giant aims to reach net zero emissions for operations by 2030 using carbon credits. It also pledges to hit net zero for financing by 2050, with the following sectoral emission reductions targets.

Citi 2030 Emissions Reduction Targets

Citibank 2030 emissions targets

Barclays also recently brought in an industry expert to lead its carbon trading operations.

The future of the carbon offset market holds uncertainties, especially regarding technological advancements that could transform carbon removal efforts. But this potential innovation introduces a risk similar to “venture capital-style risk,” said a Citi executive.

He emphasized that established prices and methodologies are best for carbon credits, but cautioned against using them for emerging technologies. However, he highlighted Citi’s intent to actively engage in removals once it is scaled.

The banking industry stands out in its capacity to help companies transition to a low-carbon economy by financing sustainable projects. If funds from banks are channeled into emission reduction efforts, it would help scale carbon markets faster toward net zero.

Carbon Prices and Voluntary Carbon Markets Faced Major Declines in 2023, What’s Next for 2024?

The year 2023 marks a pivotal moment in the volatile journey of the carbon credit market. Once hailed as a cornerstone of corporate climate action, voluntary carbon markets are now grappling with a crisis of confidence and a significant downturn in price and demand.

A Rapid Rise and Troubling Slowdown

Voluntary carbon markets (VCMs), a key tool in the global fight against climate change, experienced exponential growth from 2019 to 2021. 

voluntary carbon market

As seen above, VCM credits jumped by 86% in 2021 compared to 2019 level. This surge was fueled by escalating corporate net-zero commitments and optimistic forecasts about the market’s potential size.

For instance, Citibank committed to reach net zero emissions by 2050, while using carbon credits to tackle unavoidable emissions. One of the world’s largest biopharmaceutical companies, Pfizer, also pledged to achieve net zero emissions by 2040. The US’ biggest utility, Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E), also aimed at hitting net zero by 2040 while reducing Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 50% from 2015 levels by 2030. 

However, 2022 witnessed a stark slowdown in the VCM’s growth, a trend that continued into 2023. Various factors, including the increasing complexity of market mechanisms and the role of carbon credits in broader sustainability strategies, have contributed to this decline​​.

The Offset Decline: An Erosion of Confidence

Several high-profile corporations, such as Shell, Nestlé, EasyJet, and Fortescue Metals Group, have recently retreated from carbon offset schemes. This withdrawal stems partly from growing skepticism about the effectiveness of these projects, with concerns about their actual climate benefits and accusations of greenwashing. 

  1. Shell: The MIT Technology Review reported that corporations, including Shell, announced they were backing away from offsets or the claims of carbon neutrality that relied upon them. This shift reflects a broader trend of companies moving away from credits that simply claim to prevent emissions, particularly in light of increasing awareness about the challenges in proving the actual environmental impact of these projects​​.
  2. Nestlé: Reuters detailed Nestlé’s decision to move away from investing in carbon offsets for its brands, such as KitKat, to focus more on programs and practices that help reduce greenhouse gas emissions within their own supply chain and operations. This change is part of their strategy to reach their net-zero ambitions, indicating a shift from offsetting to direct emission reductions​​.
  3. EasyJet: According to the MIT Technology Review, EasyJet was mentioned as another corporation that had decided to wind down its offsetting program. Instead, EasyJet is now focusing on cutting emissions from its operations, signaling a shift in strategy towards more direct measures of reducing environmental impact​​.

A significant decrease in demand for offsets was observed, with estimates suggesting a 25% decline from 2021 levels by the end of 2023​​.

Carbon Price Collapse

The downturn in demand has had a dramatic effect on prices. The Xpansiv market CBL, the world’s largest spot carbon exchange, saw prices of carbon offsets fall by over 80% in an 18-20 month period.

historical standardized contract prices

This price decline reflects the broader challenges facing the voluntary carbon market, including questions about the actual environmental impact of the credits and the integrity of projects claiming to offset emissions​​.

While the VCM prices have been hit, the decline in NGEO (Nature-Based Global Emissions Offsets) prices stands out due to the premium they were trading at over the other offsets last year. With increasing scrutiny on forestry projects, NGEO prices sharply dropped from around $15 in June 2022 to $1 in June this year.

It even declined to below $1 at the time of writing. 

NGEO prices falling 2022-2023

One major reason for the downward trend of NGEOs was the tough macroeconomic environment, causing stagnation in demand in 2022. Moreover, the poor outcome for the VCM at COP27, which carries over at the recent COP28, further casted doubts on how carbon offsets fit in corporate net zero plans.

Mark Kenber, VCMI’s Executive Director, commented that though there are many encouraging developments on carbon markets at COP28, agreements “fell short of the mark”. He further stated that:

“For the market to fully develop in the next two years, policymakers can draw on the foundational work of the VCMI and IC-VCM, developing high-integrity VCM and Article 6 markets that deliver the finance that makes ambitious global action possible.”

Over in compliance markets, the EU carbon prices have broken records in February this year, surging past 100 euros. But the EU allowance prices also dipped back to its low levels this month at 78 euros, close to its November 2022 average price. 

The region, which has the largest carbon market EU ETS, plans to phase out its free carbon allowances while gradually phasing in its newly introduced carbon tax, known as the Carbon Border Adjustment MechanismCBAM will ensure that companies operating inside and outside the bloc remain on the same page in terms of carbon pricing and environmental impact. 

Following the EU footsteps, the UK is also set to launch its own CBAM version. It aims to ensure that imported goods from carbon-intensive industries like iron, steel, and cement face fair carbon prices. 

A couple of African nations are also gearing up to participate in the carbon arena. New carbon credit exchanges are created in Zimbabwe and Tanzania while Zambia and Kenya have plans to do the same. 

Several countries in Asia are also joining the carbon market bandwagon. Indonesia had launched a carbon credit trading market through IDX as part of its 2060 net zero goal. Japan’s first exchange-based carbon market opened in October this year.

Amid all these, the future of carbon markets now stands at a critical juncture. They face the challenge of regaining credibility and functionality amidst growing scrutiny and regulatory changes. How these markets evolve in response to these challenges will significantly impact their role in global climate strategies.

The Inflection Point: What’s Next for Carbon Prices and Trading?

Not all carbon news is grim here in 2023.

On Dec 13th, 2023, Xpansiv’s CBL spot exchange hit a daily trading volume record of 2.13 million tons of carbon credits, signalling robust corporate engagement in carbon offset markets. This surge aligns with the final day of COP28, reflecting an uptick in year-end corporate purchases for sustainability goals. 

New transparency requirements in the U.S., Europe, Australia, and California are driving this demand, pushing companies to disclose more about their carbon offset activities.

Allister Furey, CEO and co-founder of Sylvera, noted the fact that regulators are now seeing the critical role of carbon credits in financing the net zero transition. He further said that:

“Disclosures at every step of the carbon journey and for all involved stakeholders will become increasingly important. From the SEC’s coming climate disclosure rules to California’s AB1305, there are significant incoming regulations which should dramatically improve data availability in net zero–and we will begin to see the price of carbon ripple throughout value chains, slowly but surely.”  

Since 2020, CBL has traded over 300 million tons, dominating over 95% of the global spot exchange-traded carbon offsets. The record day underscores a heightened market activity during the UN’s COP event.

Meanwhile, the Compliance Credits market has not only attracted immense investment dollars – especially in carbon capture projects – but countries like Canada and the UK are setting higher and higher compliance prices.

NASDAQ Enters the Carbon Credit Market Arena

The NASDAQ Exchange, recognizing the growing importance and potential of the carbon credits market, has recently launched an innovative technology to revolutionize the industry. This new system, aimed at digitizing the issuance, settlement, and custody of carbon credits, is set to enhance the scalability of this nascent market. 

Nasdaq’s approach uses smart contracts for secure transactions and promises to bring much-needed standardization and liquidity to attract diverse investors​​​​.

Moreover, Nasdaq’s collaboration with Climate Impact X (CIX) marks a significant stride towards developing the global carbon market. This partnership will power CIX’s spot exchange for quality carbon credits, intending to improve price transparency and liquidity in the voluntary carbon credit market. 

Addressing the inefficiencies and inconsistencies in the market, this move by Nasdaq and CIX is poised to create a more resilient and scalable trading environment, demonstrating Nasdaq’s commitment to pioneering market transformations in the carbon credit sector​​.

It’s clear that change is in the air. Companies are not just looking to buy credits; they’re looking to buy credibility and real impact. And as the market matures, it’s becoming more about quality than quantity.

Top 1% of Polluting Companies Cause 50% of EU ETS Emissions

Amidst a challenging year for the climate, a recent Carbon Market Watch (CMW) report uncovered a concerning trend among the EU’s top 30 emitters, referred to as “Emissions Aristocracy”. 

These companies span various sectors like power generation, steel, cement, oil refinement, and petrochemicals. And collectively, they contribute to 50% of the emissions accounted for by the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS).

Free Allowances Are Polluters’ “Freebies”

The EU ETS is a pivotal component of the European Union’s fight against climate change. Launched in 2005, it holds the distinction of being the world’s premier and most extensive transnational emissions trading initiative. Designed to curb greenhouse gas emissions, the system aligns with the EU’s overarching plan to fulfill climate objectives and global agreements like the Paris Agreement.

The CMW report, built upon existing research, sheds light on companies significantly polluting under the European carbon credit trading scheme. It identifies those not paying for their GHG emissions and sectors failing to meet their decarbonization commitments. 

The European Commission (EC) had reported on the performance of the EU ETS for 2022 focusing on installations and sectors. But it didn’t reveal the entire story, according to CMW. Their new analysis promises a deeper understanding of emissions data, unveiling startling truths on free carbon allowances. 

A policy expert at CMW and the report’s author, Lidia Tamellini, stressed the fact their analysis revealed:

“The EU ETS allows an Emissions Aristocracy to pollute without footing the bill. This report spotlights how these already hugely profitable companies are granted freebies. Rather than the polluter paying, it is the planet and society left carrying the tab.”

Under the EU ETS, the companies in the Emissions Aristocracy, despite generating substantial revenue, benefit from ‘free allowances’. That means they’re avoiding payment for the environmental harm caused by their planet-warming emissions.

The EU ETS is a market-driven climate policy, geared toward heavy industry and the power sector, that follows the ‘polluter pays principle’. It means emitters must pay for the environmental and social costs of their GHG emissions.

The Lion’s Share of EU Emissions is From Top 1%

CMW’s investigation found that while the power sector is responsible for most of the emissions, it pays for its pollution. However, companies in other sectors like steel, cement, and petrochemicals are among the top 30 polluters that receive huge amounts of free pollution permits. 

The identified businesses are dominant players in their respective sectors. 

The EU ETS is dominated by a small fraction of companies. In particular, the top 30 emitters alone account for over 50% of the scheme’s emissions in 2022, despite comprising less than 1% of total covered companies: 3,515. This highlights the huge responsibility of those companies in driving the climate crisis, underscoring greater accountability in their climate actions. 

EU ETS top companies responsible for 50% of emissions

Given the total amount of EU emissions in 2022 and that covered by the ETS, only 30 businesses are accountable for generating about 25% of the total EU carbon footprint for last year. 

However, within the EU carbon trading mechanism, major contributing sectors face minimal pressure for swift emission reductions, the report said. More remarkably, these sectors received about €47.6 billion in free allowances in 2022, essentially granting them a free-to-pollute pass.

EU ETS free allowances for heavy industries

As can be seen in the chart, giving out free allowances especially favored the heavy industries. Prior to 2016, some sectors received more allowances than their carbon emissions. For the last 3 years (2020 – 2022), free allocation covered industrial emissions by 104%, 89%, and 95%, respectively.

The redirection of auctioning revenues toward climate-related purposes under the recent EU ETS revision signifies a loss in vital funding for innovative technologies, support to vulnerable households and small businesses, and climate mitigation efforts.

A handful of prominent companies are featured in the report’s list. RWE, a multinational energy corporation, holds the title as the largest emitter in the EU. Additionally, heavy industry entities like ArcelorMittal, ThyssenKrupp, and HeidelbergCement secure their presence within the top 10 of the listed emitters.

The report delves into the continued use of free allowances within specific sectors, hindering the European economy’s path to decarbonization. The analysis also highlights how the free allocation system has failed in fostering an efficient decarbonization path for heavy industry.

Make the Emissions Aristocrats Pay 

The European Commission is in the process of formulating its post-2030 climate framework. Addressing how polluters evade paying the complete cost of their emissions should be a top priority of the EU ETS.

Carbon Market Watch advocates for a more robust EU ETS aligned with achieving climate neutrality by 2040. This entails phasing out free allowances for heavy industries and promptly implementing an auctioning system ahead of the current plan, which extends free allocation until 2034. 

The EC must establish stricter regulations for major emitters to ensure genuine accountability and responsibility for polluting. For Tamellini, “Closing the loopholes in the EU ETS is essential…the Emissions Aristocracy has had it easy for too long.”

Carbon Market Watch report sheds light on the stark reality of the EU’s emissions landscape. Going beyond the surface, their analysis pinpoints key companies, sectors, and emission trends within the EU ETS, highlighting the urgent need for accountability and stronger decarbonization strategies.

Sylvera and Singapore Forge Path Towards High-Quality Carbon Credits

Sylvera, a prominent carbon data provider, is collaborating with the Singapore Government to facilitate high-quality carbon credits for meeting its commitments under the Paris Agreement. Alongside this initiative, the company opened an office in Singapore to bolster its presence in Singapore’s thriving carbon trading ecosystem.

The London-based company builds software that independently and accurately assesses carbon projects aimed at capturing, removing, or preventing emissions. This technology aids organizations in making impactful investments toward achieving net zero emissions

With the company’s suite of data and tools, businesses and governments alike gain the confidence to invest in, measure, deliver, and report genuine climate impact. 

Empowering Climate Action

Despite the Paris Agreement’s inception in 2015, many signatory countries are currently falling short of their climate goals. Purchasing carbon credits stands out as a well-established and scalable approach to channel funding towards impactful climate outcomes. These credits support projects worldwide such as safeguarding rainforests from deforestation and clean energy initiatives. 

Article 6.2 of the Paris Agreement lays the groundwork for countries to exchange carbon credits through a market mechanism. This approach helps nations in their climate goals post-emission reduction efforts.

Singapore, the leading Southeast Asia in instituting a carbon pricing system, actively seeks partnerships for carbon credit projects. These initiatives offer host countries various benefits, including investments, job creation, and progress towards sustainable development goals.

Benedict Chia, Director General for Climate Change at the National Climate Change Secretariat in Singapore, highlighted the nation’s commitment to fostering a high-integrity carbon market. To achieve that, the official particularly noted that:

“…we need to leverage data and innovative technologies to monitor emissions reductions and removals in carbon credit projects. We welcome the launch of Sylvera’s regional office in Singapore to provide solutions on this front.”

Sylvera will aid Singapore in identifying top-notch carbon credits (referred to as ITMOs under Article 6.2) from other nations. This collaboration aims to swiftly allocate climate finance to areas making tangible climate impacts and use these credits in alignment with Singapore’s Paris Agreement objectives. 

In October, the Asian country set a criteria for international carbon credits to ensure that they are of high quality. 

By marrying cutting-edge technology with premier carbon measurement methodologies, Sylvera offers ratings that evaluate climate action investments, like carbon credits. This empowers organizations and pioneering nations like Singapore to confidently execute their climate strategies and progress towards achieving net zero.

Singapore Raises the Bar for High-Integrity Carbon Credits

Singapore has recognized the advantages that carbon markets offer in achieving net zero targets with its ambitious goals. It’s crucial for global leaders to embrace the benefits of high-quality credits to make substantial progress on their climate commitments. 

Thus, governments are increasingly emphasizing the need for independent assurance to ensure the credits they purchase are “driving real climate action and societal net zero progress,” said Samuel Gill, Co-founder and President of Sylvera.

Last July, the carbon rating company raised $57 million to incentivize businesses to confidently invest in carbon credits.

According to Trove Research, a total of $36 billion was invested in voluntary carbon credit projects within 10 years, 2012-2022. Of that, $7.5 billion was raised in 2022 alone.

In terms of share, the East Asia and Pacific region bagged the largest investment, amounting to $2.7 billion.

carbon credit investment by region
Source: Trove Research

Still, global efforts remain short of about $90 billion to meet the 2030 carbon reduction targets. 

Sylvera’s advanced software will contribute to strengthening Singapore’s position as a key emissions trading hub in Asia. Through this collaboration, the country may set a benchmark for environmental integrity, setting an example for the global community.

The announcement coincides with Sylvera’s expansion into the region, establishing a local presence and office in the country. This development is backed by support from the Singapore Economic Development Board (EDB). 

Sylvera’s new office will serve clients not just in Singapore but also in the broader APAC region.

Investments in developing carbon credit projects are an essential market signal indicating levels of corporate climate action. Sylvera’s collaboration with the Singapore Government marks a crucial step toward ensuring high-quality carbon credits for meeting climate commitments.