An Israeli company Netafim introduced its landmark carbon credits initiative for global rice farmers with its pioneering drip irrigation technology at the COP27 summit.
Netafim is part of the global conglomerate Orbia and was the first to introduce drip irrigation in the ‘60s. The company says its precision agriculture technology can save water, boost crop yields, and reduce carbon emissions.
“This program marks the first time a carbon credit is being generated based on the application of irrigation technology. In the face of climate change, the only surefire route to sustainable agriculture is to grow more with less — less land, less water and significantly less greenhouse emissions.”
Netafim and Its Drip Irrigation Method
Traditionally, growing rice uses up to 40% of the world’s freshwater. It’s also responsible for 10% to 15% of all methane emissions from human activities.
When the world has to reach net zero emissions by 2050, there’ll be 20% less arable land per person to grow enough calories. The demand for rice will also increase by 28% by that period to feed 10 billion people living on earth, according to Netafim.
Add to that the increasing water scarcity, and so it’s clear why efficient agricultural practice is a must.
This is where Netafim and its drip irrigation fits in, championing a precision agriculture technique.
Drip irrigation is one the most efficient water and nutrient delivery systems for growing crops. That’s because it delivers water and nutrients across the rice field in pipes called ‘dripperlines’. They have smaller units known as ‘drippers’.
Each dripper emits drops containing water and nutrients directly to each plant’s root zone, in the right amounts and at the right time. Each crop gets exactly what it needs and when to grow optimally.
By introducing its pioneering drip irrigation system for rice production, Netafim said it can save 70% of the water used in producing rice.
According to the company, the traditional method of rice irrigation requires about 5,000 liters or 1,320 gallons of water per kilo of rice produced. But with drip irrigation technique, only 1,500 liters or 396 gallons of water is needed.
Plus, Netafim’s method uses 36% less energy and 30% less fertilizer. It also cuts methane emissions to almost zero and arsenic uptake by 90%.
But there’s a catch – the drip equipment will be costly for poor farmers. And it may not be an option if water is cheap and abundant.
But that could change with Netafim’s novel carbon credit program.
Carbon Credits from Drip Irrigation
The firm’s new initiative can enable rice farmers to afford the system. And that’s through the cash from carbon credits its drip irrigation generates.
Carbon credits are tradable permits produced from reducing or removing gasses like CO2 and methane. These credits allow companies to offset and lower their emissions which are hard to fully avoid.
Netafim works with researchers who put flux chambers into the rice fields. These devices measure emissions from the ground to the atmosphere in real-time.
The company also has verifiers to validate that the measurement is done properly. The data is further validated by Verra, one of the top carbon credit verifiers. It checks that the method used to sequester carbon follows international standards.
Miodownik noted that:
“If just 10% of paddy rice farmers switch to drip, the drop in emissions will be equal to taking 40 million cars off the road.”
Rice growers using Netafim’s drip lines can earn 10 carbon credits per hectare of land each year.
Netafim will see that rice growers adhere to its drip irrigation procedures. Then it will submit the data for verification to Verra, who will issue the carbon credits.
Once those credits are bought, the firm will pay the farmers what is due to them.
But there’s one big problem, especially in developing countries. Farmers have to buy the drip equipment upfront, but the carbon credits will be paid later at the end of the rice season.
So Netafim is looking for those willing to pre-purchase the credits to help farmers access the capital they need. It’s also exploring other models for managing carbon credits and payments.
The cash incentive that the credits represent is a game changer. It’s a “win-win for the farmers, the buyers of carbon credits, and the environment.”
Netafim’s carbon credits program and drip irrigation system will be available to farmers worldwide in 2023.
The progress in advancing the global climate change agenda wasn’t only represented in the headlines of this year’s annual UN climate change summit known as COP27. It’s also represented in the efforts of the world leaders behind the scenes.
There were no big decisions due to land at the COP27 conference. But due to multiple crises in 2022, several breakthroughs were reached. Here are some of the key highlights concluded within the two-week summit in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt.
COP27 Climate Summit Delivers Several Breakthroughs
The biggest breakthrough came in support for climate victims.
Nations closed the COP27 climate summit with a hard-fought deal to provide financial support from developed countries to poorer ones suffering from climate disasters. They call it compensation for “loss and damage” of the climate crisis. It can be worth up to $1.7 trillion by 2050 according to a study.
This conclusion was seen as a triumph in responding to the disastrous effects of global warming on vulnerable countries. But many nations said this brought a lot of pressure on them to give up tougher pledges to tackle warming for the loss and damage fund to push through.
Developing countries, especially the small islands and other vulnerable nations got the loss and damage fund they have long fought for. The deal is a win for them over the EU and the US, the countries who had long resisted the idea of setting up this fund. But who pays and who benefits remains a battle for COP28.
However, there was little to stop polluters that caused more damage. A proposal to phase out all fossil fuels discussed at last year’s COP26 went nowhere.
And while India decided to turn the heat onto other fossil fuels, along with 80 other countries, Egypt opted out and openly struck gas deals on the sidelines.
Under this new framework, the country will use the proceeds from carbon credits to fund new clean energy projects and help developing nations end their use of fossil fuels. It allows state bodies to earn carbon credits by cutting their power sector’s emissions if they stop using fossil fuels and go for renewable sources instead.
International Trading for Carbon Credits
Carbon credits or offsets allow countries or firms to pay others to cut carbon emissions to make up for their own.
COP negotiators have been discussing how to make international trading of carbon credits work since the 2015 Paris Agreement. In Glasgow’s COP26, they outlined the broad framework for a new global carbon trading scheme. In Egypt’s COP27 climate summit, they filled in some details in a draft text.
By the end of the first week of COP27, negotiators agreed to put off decisions on which projects should be eligible to generate carbon credits. In the second week, they made progress on determining how country-to-country trading would go about.
They also clarified how nations could authorize a project within their jurisdictions to sell those credits outside their borders.
Their agreement creates a two-tier carbon market, specifying the rules on who buys the credits and for what purposes. And though they had finalized most of the guidelines for how the credits under the old trading system can be tied with the new rules, its launch is off as the debate continues into COP28 next year.
According to Dirk Forrister, the chief executive of the International Emissions Trading Association (IETA) said that:
“The texts provide key elements to implement high-integrity carbon markets that can help deliver net-zero ambitions for all countries. We expect further decisions at COP28 and beyond.”
In the new second-tier market, carbon credits are called “mitigation contributions”. An entity can buy credit from another country, and the host doesn’t have to tweak its emissions inventory.
On the Sidelines of COP27 Climate Summit
Some nations have approved at the COP27 climate summit the first-ever voluntary cooperation known as the Internationally Transferred Mitigation Outcome (ITMO). It’s a carbon emissions trading system where nations can buy or trade carbon credits from other countries. This opens doors to creating new carbon markets and more emissions reductions.
Meanwhile, Cambodia agreed to sign deals with international corporate buyers for about 15 million tonnes of carbon credits from the country’s landmark REDD+ projects.
REDD+ is a kind of climate change mitigation strategy. It allows communities and governments to gain payments for emissions reductions achieved through forest protection projects.
COP’s Old-Time Favorites and Late-Comers
The most vulnerable nations hit by climate disasters say the annual COPs focus too much on ways to cut emissions. But they don’t pay enough attention to climate adaptation. Early warning systems for climate disasters are some of the adaptation measures.
This concern has been on the table since the Paris Accord started. COP delegates agreed to double the amount of adaptation financing by $40 billion by 2025 in Glasgow.
And though there is some progress in defining a global goal on adaptation, the decisions still fall short of the funding goal. For the director of the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Center:
“Too little, too late’ is what developing countries are arguing, as climate change is already exacerbating flood events, drought and sea level rise…”
Instead of reaching a final agreement, nations at COP27 adopted a framework that laid out the questions that need answers at a future COP.
The late-comers to the debate are agriculture and food, which accounted for ⅓ of global GHG emissions. Yet talks on reducing these emissions are quite new in the COP agenda.
At the COP27 climate summit, countries authorized a group’s workshops on how to deal with climate-related agricultural issues for 4 more years. These include best practices in livestock, water use, and soil management, as well as food security.
But apart from conducting workshops, nations must translate them into measures that can be done in practice. Over 100 organizations signed a letter urging COP27 delegates to expand the scope of emissions to waste and food consumption. However, the debate kept its focus on agriculture.
Emissions from the food system have to go down, too, for the world to limit global warming. And as the head of advocacy at World Wildlife Fund (WWF) U.K. said, “you can just phase out fossil fuels, you can’t phase out food”.
Abu Dhabi wealth fund Mubadala Investment Company has acquired a strategic stake in Singapore-based AirCarbon Exchange (ACX), which is establishing a carbon credits trading exchange and trading house in the emirate.
Mubadala, the $284 billion Abu Dhabi sovereign fund, will acquire at least a 20% stake in AirCarbon Exchange. The acquisition supports the plan of the oil-rich OPEC member to enable companies to trade and finance carbon credits.
Mubadala said that the deal with ACX has been successfully done but they didn’t disclose any financial details.
The executive director of UAE Clusters at Mubadala Badr Al Olama said that the UAE is leading the transformation of the financial ecosystem. This recent investment is a testament to its role in contributing to that change.
He further noted that:
“By investing in Air Carbon Exchange and pioneering the future of environmental commodities, we demonstrate our ability to combine impact with investments that support both the decarbonisation and diversification of the UAE economy…”
ACX uses blockchain technology to securitize carbon credits. It will soon begin its first carbon exchange operations in the United Arab Emirates.
Regulating Carbon Credits Trading in Abu Dhabi
Emissions trading schemes in carbon markets are tools to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. They place a cap or limit on the amount countries or firms can emit. If they exceed those limits, they can buy permits in the form of carbon credits from others.
Carbon credits are known as carbon offsets in the voluntary carbon markets. The market for these instruments can grow to over $50 billion by 2030, according to some estimates.
The UAE has been spending billions of dollars to increase oil and gas production. But the Arab’s 2nd largest economy also plans to invest about $165 billion in clean and renewable energy to reach net zero emissions by 2050. Doing so makes it the first nation in the Middle East to have a net zero pledge.
Abu Dhabi’s stake in ACX is part of UAE’s net zero strategies and efforts to offset its emissions. The move is also a preparation for hosting the next climate change summit COP28.
In February this year, ACX partnered with the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) to set up the first regulated carbon credits trading exchange in the capital. ACX also plans to set up a regulated recognized clearing house called ACX Clearing Corporation for clearing and settling commodities and their derivatives.
ADGM will regulate carbon credits and offsets as emission instruments in the country. It will also issue licenses for exchanges to operate both spot and derivative markets.
“The investment by Mubadala in ACX is a great testament to the commitment towards climate action… which will enable investors and businesses to voluntarily purchase verified emissions reductions in the form of carbon credits within the progressive ecosystem of ADGM.”
Financing the Green Transition in UAE
Governments around the world are pursuing net zero emissions goals. New initiatives have been announced at this year’s COP27 summit in Egypt that just concluded. And a lot of investments are necessary to achieve those net zero targets – about $50 trillion.
Also, the world needs to cut GHG emissions by about 51 billion tonnes each year to reach net zero by 2050.
The International Monetary Fund urges the investment industry to scale up efforts to finance the green transition and mitigate the climate crisis.
Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Arab states have been boosting their green credentials.
Many companies and governments are finding it critical to know how to calculate carbon credits and price them. Carbon credits and offsets are vital components of global emissions trading strategies to lower emissions and reach net zero.
If you’re one of those wondering how carbon credits are calculated, then this article will guide you through from start to finish.
It will help you know the steps detailing how carbon credits are calculated, the importance of accounting them and how to measure the credits you need to offset your emissions. This is even more important if you are so eager to reduce your own carbon footprint and compensate for it well.
How To Calculate Carbon Credits
A carbon credit is a unit of exchange that individuals and firms alike use to offset their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
One carbon credit, or offset in the voluntary carbon market (VCM), is equal to one metric tonne of GHG reduced or avoided from entering the atmosphere.
Carbon credits don’t have the same value. This is mainly because the carbon credit market, like any other voluntary markets, are not regulated. Different factors affect the final value or price of the credit.
Market dynamics or the supply and demand, project costs and location, and the project developer all impact how much is the worth of each credit. So the results of measuring and accounting for carbon credits can vary a lot, depending on those factors.
On the individual level, home energy use, travels, meals, and hotel stays are the key items to factor in when calculating emissions. For businesses, the entire value chain of the products or services offered must be taken into account. Plus, employees’ travel and commute.
The total tonnes of emissions calculated determine the amount of carbon credits you need to offset your footprint.
How Are Carbon Credits Calculated?
There are five easy steps to follow on how to calculate carbon credits you have to buy for offsetting emissions according toDEFRA.
It refers to the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs in the UK. But in general, the steps for calculating carbon footprint to know the corresponding offsets are the same from country to country and here’s how to do that.
Step #1: Determine activities that emit GHGs
The first thing you should do is to identify activities you or your firm do that release GHGs.
The more complex the structure of your organization, the more difficult it is to identify who or what are the sources of emissions. But most often, doing it involves three different ways based on the following emissions scopes.
The following diagram shows the common types of emissions sources under each scope.
Identifying those activities under each of the 3 scopes will be helpful when targeting the emissions source for later reductions.
Step #2: Quantify polluting activities
The most common approach used to calculate GHG emissions is to apply emission factors to known activity data from your home or organization.
This means getting the quantity of resource use through receipts, invoices, or bills associated with the activities. For instance, calculate the amount of electricity, fuels, goods, and services you paid for.
Activity data can be collected in different units of measurement. For example, weights in the case of food or volume for fuel used and kilowatt hours for electricity consumed.
For water, you quantify emissions in cubic meters while it’s mileage for travel. The costs for each of these polluting activities should be monitored and summed up for each year.
The table below sets out common polluting activities and sources of information to turn the data into GHG emissions.
And if it’s impossible for you to calculate emissions from known activity data, you can estimate. But be transparent of the estimation method used to ensure that results are reasonable.
Step #3: Get the emission factor of major GHGs
This is when things can be quite tricky when you calculate carbon credits. That’s because there’s a formula to get the emissions from all six major GHGs. But keep in mind that your reporting period should be for 12 months.
Your emissions year should also ideally correspond with your financial year. In case they’re different, most of your reporting year must fall within your financial year.
Going back to the DEFRA guide, it notes that different activities or fuels also have different emission factors (EF). That’s to reflect how polluting each of the following GHGs is:
Different activities and fuel can release one or more of them. So, it’s important that you know their corresponding EF. To calculate emissions of each GHG, here’s the formula to follow:
“Activity data x Emission factor = GHG emission”
Activity data refers to total use of a resource in a year. Multiplied that by the EF of all the GHGs generated by that certain activity and you get the emissions.
The Environment Protection Agency (EPA) Greenhouse Emission Inventories provide the EFs for various fuels/resources. These include coal and coke, biomass, electricity, fossil fuels, natural gas, and petroleum.
You can also find the EF of GHGs per type of vehicle that you or your company use and corresponding year.
The EPA also keeps a record of EFs for various industries called AP-42. It contains EFs of over 200 air pollution source categories, industry sectors or groups of similar emitting sources.
For the EFs of the foods and drinks you consume, you can find them in this Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories.
Step #4: Change the EF to carbon dioxide equivalent
One crucial thing to take note is that the 6 major GHGs don’t have equal damage to the planet, also called their Global Warming Potential (GWP).
In other words, one unit of CO2, for instance, has a different warming effect than methane. It’s the same for the other GHGs.
Likewise, one unit of nitrous oxide has a GWP of 298 or equal to 298 units of CO2. It means N2O has the potential to warm the earth 298x more than the same amount of CO2.
That’s why it’s important to convert emissions into CO2 equivalent (CO2e). To do this, multiply the EF of each GHG with its corresponding GWP.
Step #5: Compute total emissions
The last step left to do is to calculate the total emissions of your activities/resource use. Get it by summing up all emissions in CO2e for a year.
For personal emissions, there’s another way to get your carbon footprint. For instance, you can use an online calculator that can generate your total emissions after you provide all the information.
But if you prefer a manual calculation for your organization’s emissions, you can always follow the five easy steps mentioned.
Sample computation to calculate carbon credits
The steps serve as a guide on how carbon credits are calculated. To give you a clearer picture, here’s a sample calculation you can try.
It’s based on electricity use of a household with four persons living in the U.S. The basis is the known 2015 activity data.
Step 1: Electricity use is under Scope 1 emissions
Step 2: Average use of electricity by 1 person in the US is 4,517 kWh/year.
So, it means the household of 4 people uses about 18,068 kWh (kilowatt per hour). That is equal to around 18 MWh of electricity use. 1,000 kWh = 1 megawatt (MWh).
The next step is to calculate the emissions for the activity by getting its EF.
Step 3: Electricity use EF from the EPA Greenhouse Emission Inventories
Get the EFs for electricity from the EPA Greenhouse Emission Inventories. You’ll find three GHGs for this – CO2, CH4, and N2O. Here’s the corresponding EFs for each one of them:
Following the formula provided earlier, multiply the 3 EFs above by 18 MWh of electricity used by the household of 4. The computation to calculate total emissions for a year goes as follows:
650.31 lbs (CO2) x 18 = 11,705.58 lbs of CO2
0.03112 lbs (CH4) x 18 = 0.56016 lbs of CH4
0.00567 lbs (N2O) x 18 = 0.10206 lbs of N2O
Step 4: Converted CO2e for CH4 and N2O
To express all the emissions in CO2e, multiply their GWP specified in the EPA Greenhouse Emission Inventories.
In this case, the methane (25) and nitrous oxide (298) GWPs as explained earlier. The calculation goes like this:
11,705.58 lbs of CO2 x 1 = 11,705.58 lbs of CO2e
0.56016 lbs of CH4 x 25 = 14.00 lbs of CO2e
0.10206 lbs of N2O x 298 = 30.41 lbs of CO2e
Step 5: Total emissions is 11,750 lbs of CO2e
Lastly, sum up all the 3 converted emissions from step 4 above. Then you’ll arrive at around 11,750 lbs of total CO2e emitted in a year for electricity consumption of 4 people.
Carbon emissions often come in tonnes. So 11,750 pounds is equal to about 5.33 tonnes of CO2e.
So, what does that figure mean to calculate the carbon credits you have to buy? It’s pretty simple. Just multiply the total emissions (5.33) with the price of carbon per tonne as per the market’s rate.
For example, if the carbon price in the market that you buy from is at US$15.0/tCO2e, that would be: 5.33 tCO2e x $15.0 = $79.95.
So, the family of four wanting to offset their emission due to electricity use can buy carbon credits worth $79.95. Or it can be lower depending on the certain market they’ll be buying from.
That money is then spent on projects that reduce or avoid carbon from entering the atmosphere.
Accounting For Carbon Credits
High CO2 emitting sectors like the energy, aviation, and automobile are under regulatory or compliance carbon credit schemes. It means they have to meet a certain limit on emissions set by a government regulatory framework.
This is also called the cap-and-trade scheme or Emissions Trading System (ETS). These systems create the Certified Emissions Reduction (CER) credits. Firms with excess CER credits can trade with others who are over their limits.
There are some key international accounting bodies for regulatory carbon credits after the Kyoto Protocol. But since there’s no regulatory guidance yet, some firms made their own emissions accounting policies. But most companies are accounting for their carbon credit transactions using the IASB’s IFRS.
You can also buy carbon credits from a voluntary carbon project, also known as carbon offsets. The steps involved when accounting for carbon credits under VCM are identical, but only without the regulatory approving bodies.
Still, a third-party entity must verify the carbon credits created by the project. This is to ensure that the amount of reductions they claim are verifiable and real or measurable.
How To Assess or Measure Carbon Credits?
A project’s emission reductions represented by carbon credits are measured in tonnes of CO2e reduced or removed from the atmosphere. How to measure these carbon credits involves considering a set of key criteria.
Though each credit represents one tonne of emission reduction, not all carbon credits are created equal and so their prices also vary. In general, there are three criteria that you can use to guide your buying decision – additionality, permanence, and measurability.
Additionality: a carbon reduction or removal is “additional” if it would not have happened without the carbon credit.
Additionality is crucial when evaluating or measuring carbon credits to buy. It affects the quality of a particular carbon credit. This is because buying credits to offset your emissions may only worsen the climate if the reductions are not additional. By definition, most carbon removal credits have high additionality as they rely on carbon credits to work.
Permanence: this refers to the duration and risk of leakage of carbon reduction or removal project.
This criterion considers the fact that most CO2 emitted today will not be 100% removed later. Only 25% of it stays in the air for over a hundred years.
And so, high-quality credits are the ones that go with reductions/removals that are permanent. >100 years is permanent and below that is temporary.
Measurability: this deals with data availability and verification.
The reported emission reductions must be accurate and verifiable. In particular, overestimation of GHG reductions should not occur. Otherwise, the measurability of the data won’t be reliable.
Projects that have no data to verify have poor measurability while those with verified data have good measurability.
Pricing Carbon Credits
In regulated carbon markets like the case of the EU ETS, the regulation influences the price setting. But in the VCM, prices vary based on project location, carbon program, and market conditions.
Carbon credits prices also differ depending on the specific type of projects that generate them.
For instance, carbon credits from wind projects in India (which are abundant) have an average price of $1.2/tonne. In comparison, carbon credits from the same project type in the US (which is not common) cost about $3.7/tonne.
Also, the carbon program Gold Standard often prices carbon credits higher than others. That’s because it includes in the price the social costs of the credits used for offsetting emissions.
How Do You Calculate Carbon Credits? – Key Takeaways
Carbon credits put a price on air pollution. They serve as a currency used by entities to pay for their emissions.
Carbon credits are available either in compliance or voluntary carbon markets. Though prices and standards vary between these markets, carbon credits still play the same vital role in preventing or reducing emissions.
Most importantly, measuring your own emissions to calculate the carbon credits needed to offset them is one way you can help to save the planet from damaging effects of the climate.
So, if you’re ready to do it, you can start by following the 5 easy steps discussed on how to calculate carbon credits. Then you can begin searching for the best carbon offset programs to consider.
At COP27’s talk to end deforestation, Cambodia agreed to sign contracts with international corporate buyers for about 15 million tonnes of Verified Emission Reductions (VERs) or carbon credits from the country’s landmark REDD+ projects.
The announcement from Cambodia shows a groundbreaking collaboration among the government, NGOs, local communities, and large companies, to end deforestation. It represents an effective way to address deforestation while driving investments for sustainable development.
The Royal Government’s Ministry of Environment will be signing agreements with a group of leading corporations that will buy the carbon credits from three of Cambodia’s REDD+ projects developed by the Wildlife Conservation Society and Wildlife Alliance.
Cambodia, REDD+ and Carbon Credits
Deforestation and forest degradation are some of the biggest contributors to the climate crisis, representing over 10% of all emissions. And it will be impossible to achieve the 1.5°C warming goal without ending emissions from forest loss by 2030.
The UN Conference of the Parties (COP) created the REDD+ framework. It refers to Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation, with the role of conservation, sustainable management of forests, and enhancement of forest carbon stocks in developing countries.
REDD+ is a climate change mitigation strategy that allows communities and governments to gain payments from the voluntary carbon markets for emissions reductions achieved through forest protection projects. These projects tackle the main culprits of deforestation.
REDD+ projects allow stakeholders to get value from protecting and conserving their forestlands. And the government of Cambodia finds REDD+ and the carbon credits the projects generate relevant to their cause.
According to the country’s Minister of Environment, Dr. Say Samal, project-based REDD+ is an essential part of Cambodia’s strategy to achieve its nationally determined contributions (NDCs). The mechanism also ensures that the communities have enough resources to deliver the projects.
He also said that:
“Funds generated from VER sales help Cambodia’s Ministry of Environment enact effective policies that support our country’s efforts to reduce deforestation, including our transition to a nested jurisdictional REDD+ program. At a time when the world is struggling to meet the commitments enshrined in the Glasgow Leaders’ Declaration on Forests and Land Use, Cambodia’s experience demonstrates how project-based REDD+ can help countries like ours, which are ready to preserve its forests, to secure immediate, sustainable, and large-scale financing…”
Protecting Forests With Carbon Credits (VERs)
By closing the deals, the Cambodian government managed to have critical financing to protect its vulnerable forests. It will help support local communities working on the frontline to end deforestation.
Here’s how the plan will look like for REDD+ projects until 2030.
Those community-based forest projects will protect a total of about 50.5 million hectares. They represent 17% of deforestation in 15 critical forest nations, which include Cambodia. Other countries are Brazil, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
The government of Cambodia selected Everland to market the carbon credits from its REDD+ projects with large global corporations as buyers. The offering yielded a total bid of 15 million tonnes of emission reductions.
The corporate buyers will use the VERs as part of their strategy to offset unavoidable emissions. All the while contributing to wildlife protection and community development.
scale up site-based activities within the REDD+ project landscapes,
strengthen local and community-based institutions to govern community-level revenue sharing,
increase access to jobs, education, and healthcare for the local communities, and
secure the long-term financial stability of the projects in Cambodia.
Scaling up REDD+ Programs in Cambodia
Cambodia has been scaling up its REDD+ program by expanding its portfolio of projects. This is done through the help of its major project developer partners, including the Wildlife Conservation Society (WCS) and Wildlife Alliance.
So far, the projects have received around $11.6 million from the sale of carbon credits. The revenues are all reinvested in further environmental conservation.
The ministry is also preparing for an additional REDD+ project on 1.19 million ha. This will bring the total REDD+ project area to over ⅓ of Cambodia’s protected areas.
With these programs, the CEO of Wildlife Alliance Suwanna Gauntlett commented at the COP27 discussion:
“Cambodia’s REDD+ projects adhere to the most rigorous monitoring, evaluation, and independent verification processes. They produce high-quality verified emissions reductions that protect forests, reduce emissions, and safeguard the populations of endangered species in addition to ensuring services and livelihoods for forest communities…”
She also said that those benefits only show the forest nations that they can seek economic growth while preserving the natural beauty of their countries at the same time.
At the end of 2021, the first Fourth-Generation nuclear reactor in the world came online in Shandong, China.
China claims it’s “homegrown,” and more than 90 percent of the equipment is sourced from China.
In reality, the technology was purchased from Germany when they abandoned nuclear a decade ago.
Still, China hopes to use it to demonstrate mastery over Fourth-Generation nuclear—and its evolution from nuclear amateur to pioneer on the world stage.
The reactor is a high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (HTGR), which means it doesn’t need to be built near water or the coast.
And since there’s no need for a containment dome, it’s far more cheaper to build HTGR than ERPs.
In other words, it’s the ideal reactor for exporting globally.
But it’s not the only nuclear reactor China has developed.
China is now the proud owner of four advanced nuclear power plant designs that can be built at scale—all “obtained” from other countries: the EPR (France), the CAP1000 (U.S.), the HTR-PM (Germany), and the VVER-1000 (Russia).
So why is China building every model of reactor it can get its hands on? That’s been proven to be the least cost-efficient and time-efficient way to build nuclear.
It’s because China doesn’t care if these nuclear reactors are over time or over budget. They only want to see what works. They’ll replicate the best, and throw out the rest.
They also want to slowly iterate away from other countries’ intellectual property, ensuring everything is “Made in China”.
China has already integrated everything it’s learned [stolen] from other countries into its own advanced design, the Hualong One.
The Hualong One, which has been called China’s nuclear “calling card,” is fully owned by China—so they can sell it freely around the world.
It’s already built two of the reactors in China, two in Pakistan… signed a contract to build one in Argentina… and is seeking approval to build one in the UK.
Of the reactors under construction in China, fully 50 percent are Hualong Ones.
The average construction time is just six years, and construction is $2,600 per kilowatt—less than half of the time and price of France’s EPRs.
China’s “Go Out” Nuclear Strategy
China recently announced an upgraded, simplified version, the Hualong Two. The first one is expected to begin construction in 2024.
Costs are around $2,000 per kilowatt, and the construction time to be an unprecedented four years.
After thirty years of “development”—squirreling intellectual property from other countries— nuclear in China is finally ready to face the world.
“‘Going out’ with nuclear power has already become a state strategy.” – Former CNNC chairman Wang Shoujun
China plans to exert the full weight of its economic and diplomatic influence to go global with nuclear, bringing carbon-free energy to the world.
And their offer will be irresistible.
State-backed banks are loaning about 70 percent of the cost of Chinese reactors—at far lower rates than are available to other nations.
“With nuclear, China is stepping up to the plate with financing.”
– BloombergNEF analyst Chris Gadomski
Other developed countries, like the United States and France, will be unable to compete with ultra-cheap, state-backed funding.
Additionally, the policy of China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is to export nuclear technology backed by full fuel cycle capability: China will provide the uranium, and they’ll take the waste.
So buyers won’t even have to worry about the biggest problem with nuclear.
Customers are lining up. The CNNC says that it has already sold reactors to seven countries, and is working on deals with forty more.
China already has a stranglehold on the international nuclear export market.
In 2019, the former chairman of China National Nuclear Corporation told a meeting of China’s political advisory body that China could build thirty overseas reactors that would earn Chinese firms $145 billion by 2030.
“Our goal is for China to lead the global nuclear energy industry by the middle of this century.”
– CNNC President Gu Jun
That’s just a small taste of what’s to come… except suddenly, the other large nuclear powers are realizing China’s master plan.
And they’re not happy.
The Power in Nuclear Power
China General Nuclear Power (CGNP) has been on a U.S. government blacklist for three years for attempting to steal nuclear technology.
CGNP is also a partner with EDF, the world’s largest operator of nuclear power stations. But it’s quickly becoming its fiercest rival.
EDF once had plans to build a Hualong One in eastern England—not any more.
And British finance minister George Osborne said that China could build and own a nuclear power plant in Britain—also no longer an option.
The UK has begun to look for ways to squeeze CGNP entirely out of its reactor development.
Even Romania cancelled an order for two CGNP reactors—opting to work with the U.S. instead.
But there’s a much bigger concern for the United States and other developed countries than stolen state secrets.
It’s called “the hundred-year marriage.”
Nuclear energy deals create nearly unbreakable ties between the seller and the host—ties that must last as long as the nuclear plant does.
From first discussions to first operations: ten years.
Unit operation: sixty years.
Decommissioning: thirty years.
That’s a century, start to finish, of strategic operations between countries.
The license for that marriage has been signed once the plant begins operations.
All the fuel, maintenance, waste disposal, training, and even staff are provided by China. So breaking relations with them is to lose power for your country—both political and electrical.
And since China’s providing financing, they’ll have extreme leverage even if countries want to get out.
They’ve already used that kind of debt trap to coerce African nations into giving up strategic properties.
And now, China is intent on using nuclear reactor exports to “marry” United States allies.
In other words, China’s nuclear reactor exports will lead to a guaranteed century of Chinese global dominance.
That’s why other nations are scrambling to boost their own domestic nuclear programs…
There are three excellent arguments against the development of nuclear power: Olkiluoto 3, Flamanville 3, and Hinkley Point C.
Those are the names of nuclear reactors under construction in Finland, France, and the United Kingdom. On the surface, they look like utter failures.
They’ve been subject to repeated delays. Olkiluoto 3 began construction in 2005, and is finally being wrapped up seventeen years later.
The reactors’ total price tag has exploded from $26.5 billion to $55.9 billion over the course of their construction.
All of the reactors are EPRs, which were designed by France, and they’re being built by a French-owned company EDF (Électricité de France).
But eight years ago, France decided to cap energy power from nuclear at 50 percent of electricity generation by 2025. That’s down from its current 70 percent.
So why is a country that wants to reduce its reliance on nuclear… wasting tens of billions of dollars and multiple decades to build more reactors?
It’s not to lower carbon emissions. France already has one of the lowest emissions-per-capita rates in the EU.
And it’s not for energy security. In 2020, France was the largest exporter of electricity in the EU.
No, the real reason is much, much bigger than either of those.
The French government knows that demand for nuclear energy is about to spike. And the first country that can build inexpensive, safe, replicable nuclear reactors will have the most valuable company on earth in short order.
So the reason why France is desperate bid to build nuclear power is simple.
France wants to sell the solution to the greatest danger the planet has ever faced.
Vive La French Nuclear
The reactors being built are prototypes for full-scale, French-style nuclear reactor production.
When France built out its nuclear fleet in the ‘80s, its strategy was to achieve a “series effect”—decreasing timelines and lowering costs by building many of the same thing.
It worked. France saw major construction timeline and price reductions for each successive reactor.
And they’re doing it again. The objective with the current buildout is to reduce the costs and construction timeline for future EPRs by 30 percent.
According to the French Nuclear Energy Society, the buildout could go even further, reducing construction and financing costs by up to 50 percent.
It will also serve to revitalize France’s competency in building nuclear reactors.
In building the Flamanville reactor, France has rebuilt an entire European supply chain that is qualified to build nuclear-quality parts for nuclear power reactors.
France already has what it needs to go global with nuclear.
It’s long been a large exporter of nuclear technology, including fuel products and services. And it has experience across the entire market, from uranium mining to reactor design and construction.
According to France’s Atomic Energy Commission, there will be “a real market for EPRs” beginning in 2030.
But France might not have to wait that long. In 2021, the VP of EDF hand-delivered an offer to build the most powerful nuclear energy site in the world—9.6 GWe of EPRs on a single site.
According to leaked communications, India is paying a “high price” for these French reactors.
Which means that every country with the finances, state backing, and nuclear programs to pull this off—China, Russia, the United States, and South Korea—wants to get in on the action.
The payoff for the first country to export nuclear technology at an international scale will be oil-industry huge.
Which is why those countries are already buying… bribing… stealing… doing whatever it takes to win the most valuable market on earth.
The Real China Syndrome
That’s how Maureen Kearney found herself hooded, tied to a chair, gagged, and brutally attacked with a knife in her Paris home.
Maureen was a major union leader at Areva, a French nuclear company.
And in 2012, she had discovered that EDF was preparing to sell French nuclear secrets to a Chinese consortium.
Fearful that cutting-edge technology would be handed over to the Chinese, she decided to become a whistleblower. And she paid the price for it.
But it didn’t matter, because China found another way in.
In 2016, EDF suddenly had a new partner in Hinkley Point C: China General Nuclear Power (CGNP). CGNP now owns 34 percent of the project.
Not quite.
Because at the same time as it purchased a stake in Hinkley Point C, CGNP quietly began building two EPR reactors in China.
It’s obvious where this is going…
The first European Pressurized Reactor (EPR)—the most advanced commercial reactor design on the continent—didn’t start up in Europe.
It started up in China, six years after Maureen was attacked.
Decades of engineering and planning, construction delays, and cost overruns, all borne by France, paid huge dividends for China.
China even poached project managers from Olkiluoto and Flamanville for work on the new reactor. Experience in France meant that engineering teams worked 60 percent fewer hours on the Chinese EPR than on Olkiluoto 3, reducing costs.
A day after the first EPR launched, the most advanced commercial reactor design from the United States, the AP1000, started up for the first time… also in China.
In 2009, American company Westinghouse had agreed to work with China to develop a larger version of their AP1000 model, creatively named the CAP1400.
The agreement gave China full IP rights for all co-developed plants greater than 1350MWe.
So China is only building plants greater than 1350Mwe.
They plan to follow the CAP1400 with a CAP1700… then a CAP2100 design—the largest nuclear reactor in the world by far.
The first two units of the CAP1400, the first “fully native” Chinese nuclear reactor, are currently under construction and expected to come online in 2025.
China has openly bragged that the CAP1400 broke a number of “technological monopolies”. And that all the key materials are designed by and manufactured in China.
The design is being developed for deployment in high numbers across China, as well as for export around the world.
Neither the EPR or the AP1000 is yet online in its home country—the AP1000s in the U.S. were cancelled—but China could care less.
They leeched their technology from France, and now France is actually worse off in its ability to build nuclear power plants.
Meanwhile, China is actively building high numbers of what is possibly the safest production-level reactor there is.
More importantly, they’re rapidly preparing to bring it to the global market at the largest scale in human history.
In 2012, the Japanese government announced the country was going “nuclear free.” “A strategy to create a new future,” they called it.
A year earlier, Japan had been the world’s third-largest producer of nuclear energy. Nuclear supplied more than a quarter of the nation’s electricity.
Then… nothing. Zero reactors in operation, and not a single kilowatt of energy from nuclear.
It was a knee-jerk reaction to the Fukushima disaster, fully supported by a vast majority of Japanese citizens. And it shot Japan in the foot.
Because it quickly discovered that shutting down nuclear required paying an extra $37 billion a yearfor imported fossil fuels…
… which led to spiraling electricity prices, extreme government debt, and rising emissions.
In fact, emissions increased 30 percent from 2011 to 2012. And in 2013, Japanese emissions hit an all-time high.
Japan’s climate change goal had been to reduce emissions from electricity production by 25 percent by 2020.
But without nuclear, Japan’s Minister of the Environment was forced to revise that figure… to a 3.1 percent increase.
In early 2021, amidst historic power shortages, Japan’s Energy Minister finally reversed course on the nuclear-free policy. “Nuclear power will be indispensable,” he said.
A new future, indeed.
A year later, the Prime Minister of Japan called for the “maximum use” of nuclear. And he ordered the government to restart idled nuclear plants at an accelerated rate.
Out of Japan’s thirty-three operable nuclear reactors, ten have already been restarted. Sixteen more are slated to be restarted by the end of 2023, and two new reactors will be brought online.
Not only that, but Japan has begun developing next-generation nuclear reactors.
It’s a momentous policy shift for a country that swore off of nuclear energy just a decade ago.
And it’s a common theme in every country with a major nuclear energy program.
From Japan to Germany to the UK to the U.S., closed nuclear plants are being recommissioned —and those scheduled for closure are remaining open.
But many countries are going even further…
They are transforming from hell-bent on shutting down nuclear to accelerating and even incentivizing the development of new nuclear programs.
Sweden Drinks the Radioactive Kool-Aid
For the last thirty years, Sweden has deliberately created the worst possible environment for nuclear.
In the ‘80s, it made plans to phase out nuclear power generation by 2010.
Then it outright banned nuclear research.
Then it banned restarting closed reactors.
And then it imposed a $0.30/kWh tax on nuclear energy.
In 2006, that tax was doubled… and increased another 25 percent in 2008.
One study put the tax at 60 percent of the operating cost of nuclear reactors in Sweden.
The tax forced two reactors, Ringhals 1 and 2, to close in 2019–2020.
And it was on track to close all three nuclear power plants in Sweden, which provide 30 percent of its electricity.
Vattenfall, a state-owned energy company, said abolishing the tax would decrease its generating costs to $20/MWh by 2021.
In 2022, the average wholesale electricity price in Sweden was $112/MWh.
That’s why 2022 polls showed that 60 percent of the population didn’t just want nuclear to stay—they wanted new reactors to be built.
But the political risk and uncertainty surrounding nuclear investments prevented any company from ever wanting to touch it again.
So when the new government came into power, it released a policy called the “Tidö Agreement.”
The agreement says that nuclear plants must be guaranteed the right to produce carbon-free electricity.
And if Sweden forces a plant to close, “the owners must be entitled to compensation.”
Then, the government pivoted from taxing nuclear reactors out of existence… to subsidizing them.
The document pledged $40 billion in loan guarantees for nuclear power construction—making it far easier for nuclear developers to get commercial funding.
It also called for:
A removal of the ban on restarting closed reactors.
Restarting Ringhals 1 and 2.
A shorter permit process and a fast track for new nuclear power.
A highly reduced application fee for new nuclear reactors.
None of this is hypothetical. Vattenfall, the previously mentioned major nuclear power company, has already been asked to identify suitable locations for additional nuclear reactors.
China: First in Emissions, First in Nuclear
Sweden is one of only thirty-three countries that currently produce nuclear energy. Thirty more are considering, planning, or starting their own nuclear energy programs.
Belarus, Bangladesh, and Turkey are all building their first nuclear reactors.
A single reactor coming online in Finland will provide 28 percent of its electricity.
But the real demand won’t come from small or developing nations. In fact, nuclear plants produce too much energy for them; if they are taken offline for refueling or maintenance, it could cause blackouts.
That’s why Slovenia and Croatia literally share a nuclear power plant on their border.
The real demand for nuclear energy will come from rapidly developing countries with high carbon emissions and huge populations.
That makes China, which has the largest and fastest-growing group of energy-consuming humans in history, the perfect candidate for nuclear.
In 2021, China’s electricity demand jumped 10 percent. For context, that’s equal to the total electricity demand of all of Africa.
Which means emissions are exploding. While every other developed country is trying to cut their emissions, China’s have risen by more than 300 percent in the past twenty years.
Right now, more than a third of global CO2 emissions come from China.
They are building out solar and wind, but their real focus is on nuclear.
Thirty years ago, China had zero nuclear power. In 2002, China was 15th in nuclear production in the world.
10th in 2007.
3rd in 2016.
2nd in 2020.
Fitch analysts now predict that China’s nuclear power capacity will overtake the U.S. by 2026.
Nuclear energy capacity in China is precisely following its emissions trajectory—only about a decade later. Which means it won’t stop when it’s #1 in the world.
In just fifteen years, China plans to build 150 nuclear plants, which is more than the U.S. has built—ever.
CNNC, a Chinese nuclear power company, is urging the government to approve a new nuclear project every two months for the next decade.
China plans to get up to 327 GWe by 2050, or more than three times the United States.
China’s population twin, India, is facing the same problem with growing emission—and seeking the same solution.
India Goes Fleet Mode
For its 1.4 billion people—18 percent of the world’s population—India has a measly 6.8 GW of capacity across seven nuclear plants.
It’s an embarrassing 1.7 percent of the country’s total power generation capacity.
Even so, Prime Minister Modi is intent on scaling up nuclear energy as fast as is humanly possible.
In the past fifteen years, nuclear power generation in India has already risen more than 300 percent.
India’s building another 6.6 GW of capacity right now—the most after China.
It has already approved another 8.4 GW of capacity—twelvemore reactors—to begin construction in the next three years.
And it has a staggering 31 GW of nuclear builds planned.
Modi plans to triple nuclear capacity again over the next decade. That’s nearly seventy new reactors coming online.
How big could it really get?
India plans to supply 25 percent of its electricity from nuclear power by 2050.
That would require 100 GW of nuclear—again, more than the U.S.
To facilitate this, India is setting up five massive “Nuclear Energy Parks,” which can handle 10GW at a single location.
By 2032, five of these parks are planned to potentially provide between 40 and 45 GW of carbon-free energy.
Once it gets going, this is hockey-stick growth.
There’s only one problem: India has very little nuclear technology of its own. For that matter, most developed countries don’t—even those with nuclear reactors.
Only five countries on the planet actually have the skills, materials, and supply chain to build nuclear reactors.
And they are all preparing to wage a full-scale war to be able to deliver the world’s most valuable energy to the rest of the planet.
The largest energy experiment in history began in France in the early 1970s. It wasn’t voluntary.
France was heavily dependent on fossil fuels for electricity—but had no reserves of its own. So when OPEC pushed up the price of oil by 400 percent, it threatened to destroy the country.
With little domestic coal or gas, France had zero energy security.
But it did have something else: substantial heavy engineering expertise.
So in 1974, French Prime Minister Pierre Messmer made a speech on national TV, declaring a new direction for French energy:
He called for France to go “all nuclear, all electric.”
Construction of the first three nuclear plants under the “Messmer Plan” started in December 1974. They were completed six years later.
And in just fifteen years, France went from breaking ground to producing electricity at forty-eight nuclear reactors.
France built reactors that quickly by making two smart decisions:
The forty-eight reactors were made from just five designs.
They were built at only twelve plants.
That meant standardized processes and greater efficiencies, keeping the price of construction low.
Then France ran into a snag. Messmer’s original plan called for constructing 170 plants by 2000.
But by 1990, less than fifty nuclear reactors were providing more than 75 percent of France’s energy needs.
France simply had too much power from nuclear, and its nuclear units had to operate at a capacity of only 61 percent.
EDF, the French electricity company, began trying to stimulate electricity demand to soak up spare capacity.
To this day, nuclear power generation in France remains so high that nuclear plants occasionally close for the weekends.
It’s an unbeatable level of energy security.
Not only that, but it accidentally gave France an incredible head-start in the race to net zero.
Because the year Messmer gave his speech, per-capita emissions in France peaked—and they have fallen by 60 percent since then.
France is beating climate change without even trying.
Meanwhile, in Germany…
In 2009, Germany unveiled a plan of its own: the International Climate Initiative. It laid out how the country would switch entirely to renewable energy by 2050.
As with everything German, they came up with a new word for the conversion: “Energiewende.”
The goals for Energiewende were ambitious, including emissions reductions of 80–95 percent and a renewable energy target of 60 percent by 2050.
Energiewende was passed into law in 2010. Germany was celebrated as “The World’s First Major Renewable Energy Economy,” and Germans were proud.
“It’s a gift to the world!” a German analyst bragged to the New York Times.
Curiously, the first source of energy to be eliminated was nuclear—which has zero emissions.
In other words, Energiewende was a perfect counterpoint to the Messmer Plan. It would demonstrate whether energy security and a carbon-free economy could be achieved through renewables alone.
A year later, Fukushima happened. Frightened by the incident, the German government decided to permanently close all nuclear reactors by 2022.
“It’s definite. The latest end for the last three nuclear power plants is 2022. There will be no clause for revision.”
– German Environment Minister Norbert Röttgen
The decision, spearheaded by former German Environment Minister and former nuclear proponent Angela Merkel, was not without its detractors.
In 2011, the New York Times reported predictions that eliminating nuclear could:
force Germany to import nuclear power from France, or even
inflate the cost of energy across the continent.
If only they knew…
How It Started Versus How It’s Going
Germany’s renewables costs—for solar panels and wind turbines and biogas plants—were rapidly forced onto consumers.
A study by the OECD found that the cost of household electricity in Germany increased by 50 percent from 2006–2017. And the report came to a surprising conclusion:
Electricity prices will continue to increase as long as Germany keeps building solar and wind.
Meanwhile, France’s electricity costs are 40 percent lower than Germany’s.
But that’s just because clean energy is more expensive, right?
Wrong. France also produces twice as muchof its electricity from clean energy sources as Germany…
… while producing one-fifth the carbon emissions from electricity per capita.
In fact—thanks to Energiewende—German carbon emissions are rising.
Germany saw its largest rise in CO2 emissions in thirty years last year.
Why? Because as German nuclear was phased out, it was primarily replaced by two electricity sources: coal and imported gas.
In fact, closed coal plants are being restarted to compensate for shuttered nuclear. And Germany is scheduled to open a half-dozen new fossil fuel facilities by the end of 2023.
That’s right.
The nation that Bloomberg says “did more than any other to unleash the modern renewable-energy industry” is actively building CO2 factories.
Meanwhile, the deployment of renewables is falling off a cliff. Wind turbine installation dropped by nearly 60 percent from 2017–2018.
In 2021, Germany barely installed more wind than in 2000.
It was an echo of solar: Installations of solar panels fell by 85 percent from 2010–2014, and have still not recovered.
But it’s too late: the money has been spent.
Three years ago, Germany’s Federal Court of Auditors found that Energiewende had cost $160 billion over the last five years—an expense that was “in extreme disproportion to results.”
“The Energiewende — the biggest political project since reunification — threatens to fail.” – Der Spiegel
Back to the Nuclear
By 2025, Germany will have spent $580 billion on renewables and related infrastructure.
Yet CO2 emissions in Germany have dropped by less than two percent a year since 2010. They need to drop by six percent every year now to reach the country’s 2030 goals.
So Germany is already setting aside $300 million a year to pay EU emissions fines. At the same time…
France is making $3 billion a year from selling nuclear electricity to other countries.
And it’s ready to double down on nuclear. At COP26, French president Emmanuel Macron made it clear: France would “relaunch the construction of nuclear reactors” to “guarantee our country’s electricity supply.”
In February 2022, Macron announced that France was planning to build six more nuclear reactors… and considering building eight more after that.
It will also extend the life of existing reactors deemed safe and suitable past fifty years.
French electricity company EDF called it the “fastest and most certain path to achieve carbon neutrality.”
Germany has no choice but to follow suit.
In October 2022, it announced that its three remaining nuclear plants would extend operations until April 2023.
Economy and Energy Minister Robert Habeck said it was a “necessary” step to avoid power grid shortages.
Some lawmakers in Germany are going further—suggesting that decommissioned plants be reopened and new reactors built.
Because reducing carbon emissions is good. But since the Messner Plan, this has always been about one thing: energy security.
And in its quest to gain independence from nuclear, Germany found itself with a new dependency—on Russia.
The “partnership” with Russia was supposed to provide a “mutual dependency intelligently for the future.” It has not looked intelligent thus far.
The results of the trillion-dollar, half-century energy experiment are in: Nuclear won.
And now every country that wants to remain energy independent and go low-carbon is turning toward the only viable solution on the planet: nuclear.
This graph shows how much power California needed from everything except solar, by hour of day, for the last decade:
During the day, solar generates so much electricity that nearly all other sources have to shut down. Otherwise, it risks blowing out the grid.
In the evening, when everyone comes home and needs to use power just as the sun is setting, demand for other sources of power spikes off the charts.
Ordinarily, nuclear would provide a consistent source of power throughout the course of the day.
But nuclear can’t just be shut off during the day when solar takes over, and turned back on at night when the sky goes dark.
So coal, oil, and gas plants have to be used to handle the spike.
Which means that every solar panel erected requires a fossil fuel plant to work.
Note: Oil and gas companies aren’t stupid. This is exactly why they’re lobbying so heavily for solar and wind.
California is not the only place emissions are rising because renewables are installed. In Germany, the Hambacher Forest is on the verge of being destroyed. Why?
Because it’s sitting on a ton of coal. And since Germany is shutting down nuclear and turning to renewables, it needs to burn more coal to account for peaks in demand.
Sweden thought about replacing its nuclear with wind. It found that every gigawatt of nuclear replaced by wind would require an additionalgigawatt of gas-based electricity.
And the buildout would cause Sweden’s CO2 emissions to double.
As renewable energy increases around the world, nuclear plants are forced to shut down…
The same nuclear plants that emit 75 percent less CO2 than solar and 99 percent less than coal.
Oh, and as a bonus—nuclear plants require zero fossil fuel plants in order to run.
Nuclear with uranium doesn’t just win the clean energy and emissions contest with renewables.
In every category that matters to stopping climate change and saving the environment, renewables lose.
Renewables Don’t Hold a Candle to Nuclear
A nuclear reactor can produce about 1 GW of electricity. But that’s not equivalent to 1 GW of installed wind or solar.
Nuclear plants produce energy more than 90 percent of the time. Wind only runs about 35 percent of the time, and solar a measly 25 percent of the time.
That means that three to four times as much wind and solar has to be installed just to produce the same amount of energy as nuclear. Here’s what that difference looks like in real life:
Eleven nuclear plants in Illinois and Pennsylvania produced more power than all solar in the U.S. in 2021.
In both land and waste, that makes a huge difference for the environment.
Those eleven plants cover about 25 square miles of land total.
Generating the same amount of electricity via solar requires more than 775 square miles—all of it deforested to make room for solar panels.
And wind? It would take more than 4,000 square miles.
In fact, solar and wind require so much land that countries like Japan would need to cover every last square inch of free land with solar to fully power the country.
But that’s not wind and solar’s biggest problem. Because unlike their name, renewables don’t last forever.
Solar panels have to be replaced every thirty years, resulting in staggering amounts of waste.
The International Renewable Energy Agency expects that by 2050, the world will have accumulated 78 million tons of solar power waste.
Solar will generate 300 times as much wasteby 2050 as nuclear has since 1950.
Wind is no better. More than 720,000 tons of 150-foot blades are expected to be dumped in landfills in the next two decades.
The high material requirements and low capacity of renewables present a little life-threatening problem:
They can never be built fast enough to save the earth.
Rising Tides Sink All Boats
In 1995, 7.2 percent of electricity in the U.S. was generated by renewables. A quarter century later, that had risen to… just 12.4 percent.
It took a twenty-five years to increase renewables as a portion of electricity by five percent.
For the record, it took three years for nuclear to make a similar move, from ’74-’77.
On its current trajectory, it will take renewables another twenty years to catch up to nuclear as a percentage of electricity generation.
And it would take a century for the U.S. to get to 50 percent renewables.
In fact, renewables aren’t even covering increases in demand right now.
Global energy demand increased by 600 percent morethan renewable energy consumption in 2021.
In an open letter, professors at MIT, Columbia, and the Carnegie Institution wrote:
Renewables… cannot scale up fast enough to deliver cheap and reliable power at the scale the global economy requires…. In the real world, there is no credible path to climate stabilization that does not include a substantial role for nuclear power.
The OECD agrees. It projects that to meet emissions goals, nuclear needs to produce 9,000 TWh a year by 2050, which will cost about $8 trillion.
That’s assuming wind and solar can produce about the same amount of energy by then… at a cost of about $20 trillion.
The world would save $12 trillion by using nuclear instead of renewables.
It doesn’t matter what angle it is… emissions, waste, land, cost…
In the fight against climate change, nuclear is the only renewable worth a watt.
Our Newest Renewable
Yes, nuclear is a renewable—arguably the only real renewable other than hydro.
Unlike wind and solar, nuclear generates the only waste from electricity production that is safely contained.
And used nuclear fuel still has about a hundred times more energy than was extracted from it. Reprocessing that fuel enables it to be used again… and again.
France, Russia, and Japan already re-use their nuclear fuel, getting more energy out of it each time.
As additional reactors that can use reprocessed fuel come online, nuclear waste will become worth billions of dollars.
Fourth-generation nuclear reactors called “breeders” could extract almost all of the energy from uranium—99x more than is currently used—without the fuel ever leaving the reactor.
There are also about 4.5 billion tons of uranium floating in the ocean.
When uranium is extracted from seawater for clean energy production, more uranium is leached from rocks to replace it to the same concentration.
And those rocks hold 100 trillion tons of uranium, a super massive source of clean energy.
So if nuclear provided 100 percent of earth’s energy for a billion years… uranium wouldn’t run out.
That makes it roughly as renewable as solar and wind.
Only with minimal waste, small land requirements, and zero additional CO2 emissions.
Governments are already recognizing that uranium is a clean, renewable source of energy.
The EU has taken the first step, stating that nuclear power will qualify as a green investment starting in 2023.
The state of Utah passed their Renewable Energy Development Act, which defined nuclear power as a form of renewable energy.
As nuclear gains renewable status, utilities will be able to use it to meet their renewable electricity regulations.
Policies will change, and massive tax incentives will be rolled out to build nuclear power plants. Uranium will be on top of the clean energy options.
And soon—unlike with wind and solar—the world’s CO2 emissions will begin to fall.
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